Morning Overview: Strong storms possible this evening

An approaching mid level disturbance will aid in the development of a low pressure system today, which will track from Pennsylvania to Southeast New York during the afternoon hours. Southeasterly winds at the surface will help to advect in warmer, more moist and unstable air during the afternoon hours. Near the coast, this low level wind flow will bring in a marine layer that will keep the air more stable. So, naturally, as the disturbance approaches the best chance for severe weather will be away from the coast and west of New York City. In those areas, from Pennsylvania to New Jersey, strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. We’ve included some details and information below, but stay tuned for an updated article later today if any watches or warnings are issued:

• A Slight Risk of severe weather today from the Storm Prediction Center for much of Pennsylvania, Western New Jersey and the Mid Atlantic States. A risk of strong winds and isolated tornadoes exists in those areas.
• Hot and humid once again today. Highs approach the upper 80’s after a cloudy start. Southerly winds will draw in a more moist and humid airmass, with more clouds along the coast and near the area beaches and local waters.
• A disturbance approaching the area will bring the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms, mainly west of New York City. These storms will be capable of producing strong winds, lightning, flooding rains and possibly an isolated tornado.
• A period of heavy rain is likely during the evening hours, even in New York City and near the coast. As the storms weaken and spread east, localized flooding will be possible with heavy rains.
• Much nicer conditions are expected for Friday and into the weekend, as high pressure settles in. Temperatures will remain warm with plenty of sun and a very minimal chance of any precipitation.