Good afternoon! We continue to monitor developments with La Nina this weekend, as it will one important features will be considering in our monthly and winter forecasts. Sea-surface temperatures this past week, have cooled over more of ENSO regions in the Central and Eastern Pacific, as anticipated in our last major update. The thermocline (sea-surface temperature gradient) has been rising this week, with an easterly trade wind bust causing more upwelling cooler sub-surface waters into the Central Tropical Pacific. The latest 30-day moving SOI is now at +13.03. So La Nina conditions have been strengthening this week.
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