Posts

Miguel Pierre

Monday Overview: Pleasant weather today…warming trend for the week

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This past weekend was kind of dreary overall with more clouds and showers around. But early this week, is look more beautiful. Some clouds may mix with sunshine at times today. But more sunshine is anticipated today with high pressure over the region. Temperatures will rise into lower 80s over much of region this afternoon with light northerly winds. These temperature are few degrees below average. But it will still feel pleasant overall with low humidity.

This pleasant weather will continue into tonight, with any clouds during the evening hours clearing overnight. Temperatures dropping into the middle to upper 60s over much of the region. Overall this week’s weather looks benign, until Thursday and Friday when some heat and thunderstorms likely return to region. Here are some highlights for this week:

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John Homenuk

Friday Overview: Heat, humidity, more thunderstorms expected

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The heat and humidity is back this morning, and it’s expected to stick around through the day. Temperatures will rise from the 70’s this morning into the 90’s once again early this afternoon. The combination of the heat and humidity will push heat index values into the middle 90’s once again throughout the area, despite temperatures remaining a bit cooler (as usual) near the shore.

The main story today will be the development of a seabreeze front, which is part of a larger “backdoor” cold front pushing toward our area from the Northeast. This boundary will serve as a convergence point for moisture, heat, and humidity — as well as atmospheric instability and lift for thunderstorms. An approaching disturbance in the atmosphere is likely to aid in storm development this afternoon and evening, some of which could be strong — especially over New Jersey. Some other highlights through the weekend:

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John Homenuk

Building ridge will bring heat, severe wx chances through July

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Within a pattern which has been well discussed for a week or more, changes are afoot during the middle to latter part of this week. The troughing and cooler air, which had become a mainstay over the Northeast US over the past several weeks, will be replaced by increased atmospheric ridging. Warmer air and heat, with temperatures over 90 F, is expected to push into the area by the middle part of this week, and last through the weekend.

This airmass will be marked by mid level temperatures warming up quite dramatically. Temperatures at the 850mb level, or 5000 feet above the ground, will warm to 20 C or above – often times the “demarcation line” for a heatwave in this part of the country. On both Wednesday and Thursday, 850mb temperatures will approach or exceed this 20 C threshold over parts of the area, and not surprisingly forecast models have indicated temperatures in the mid 90’s on both days.

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Miguel Pierre

Tuesday Overview: After rain, heat builds this week

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We hope you had a great July 4th weekend! The weather cooperated for most part for outdoor activities over the holiday weekend. But rain with a wave of low pressure moved into the region overnight. Some areas received 0.50″ to 1.50″ of rainfall including parts of Central NJ, NYC and Long Island. Which will only put a small dent in moderate drought conditions in the area. Other areas, especially further north have seen much lighter rainfall.

Rain is now ending from west to east over the region this morning. A ridge building over region will cause skies clear for more sunshine this afternoon. Temperature will rise into in the middle to upper 80s. Humidity levels will remain high. Thus, there is slight chance that that a shower or thunderstorm could still pop up around the region later this afternoon or early evening. However, the ridge will continue build with hotter and humid conditions likely for the rest of the week. Some thunderstorms may also be around as well. Here are some highlights for later this week:

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