Posts

Miguel Pierre

Weekly Planner: Strong T-Storms & Heavy Rainfall Likely Later Today

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Good morning! There is increasing potential for some heavy rainfall and strong to severe thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening, as a cold front approaches. Before that though, it will be just be hot and humid with high temperatures reaching the mid-upper 80s or lower 90s over the urban I-95 corridor, with more sunshine into at least early this afternoon. It will be a little cooler, with sea-breezes later, closer to the shore. But southerly winds will continuing to transport tropical moisture into the area, with dewpoints in the lower to middle 70s. This will lead to heat index values in the middle or upper 90s, again this afternoon. Thus a heat advisory continues for Northeast NJ and NYC for today.

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Miguel Pierre

Severe T-Storm Threat Today, Unsettled Weather This Weekend

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Good afternoon! After a some beautiful weather early this week, a more active pattern with some unsettled weather is coming for over the next several days or so. In fact, a much wetter pattern may be developing for the weekend and early next week. We will discuss more details, on this may happen below.

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Miguel Pierre

Northeast Storm With Heavy Rainfall and Wintry Mix into Tonight

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Happy Friday! The rest of today may not in fact be so “happy,” as a large storm system impacts the Northeast, making the day quite soggy. Periods of rain will continue, becoming heavy at times for the rest of this afternoon and into tonight. Warm-air advection will continue to support very mild temperatures and high dewpoints. This will continue to cause some areas of patchy fog to linger into this afternoon, as the ground may remains colder. In fact, some record high temperatures could be broken by early this evening.

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Miguel Pierre

Premium: Severe Weather Threat for the Interior Northeast Friday into Saturday

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Today will be another very warm and humid summery day for the Northeast with more widely scattered showers and thunderstorms popping up this afternoon and evening. Due to the stronger mid-level ridging, very weak wind fields and less instability with warmer mid-level temperatures, these storms will likely be less intense and fewer and father in between than on Wednesday. But will still be very slow-moving and capable of producing some heavy rainfall and flash flooding in some spots.

However, a shortwave energy embedded in a larger upper-level trough will be amplifying over the Great Lakes Friday and Saturday. This will cause low pressure to deepen and track northeast through the Great Lakes into Southeast Canada on Friday and Saturday. As it does so, it will drag a frontal boundary will be moving be slowly through the region, as ridging from the Western Atlantic gradually breaks down. Large scale ascent and lowering heights will support more numerous showers and thunderstorms over the Interior Northeast again.

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