Posts

John Homenuk

Behind the intricacies of the incoming heat wave

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It is not often that we can confidently state “A heat wave is coming” so many days in advance, yet here we are.

A heat wave is coming.

Granted, it hasn’t been easy pinning down the details of this pattern. But forecast model guidance has largely pointed most meteorologists in the right direction when it comes to this upcoming bout of heat. A combination of tropical forcing signals and the wave pattern in the North Pacific Ocean helped tip the hand of the hemispheric evolution, one that signified the development of an anomalous ridge along the East Coast.

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Miguel Pierre

Cool & Unsettled Early Week, Summer-Like Warmth Mid-Late Week

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Happy Sunday! On Saturday afternoon and night, a cold front associated with an upper-level low came through the region with some showers and thunderstorms in the local region. This cold front has since moved well offshore with some clearing today. But some cooler and unsettled weather is likely, for the next couple days, as the upper-level low and begins to cut-off and slow down over the Northeast. Then a major warm up with more summer-like temperatures is still expected during the middle to later part of this week. We discuss more details for the forecast for this coming up!

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Miguel Pierre

Summer-Like Warmth Continues, Hurricane Maria Stays Offshore This Week

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Good morning! More summer-like weather from the weekend will continue today, as strong mid-level ridging continues to be over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. It will be hot and humid for late September with plenty of sunshine for today. More sea-breezes developing this afternoon, may keep temperatures a little cooler than on Sunday, especially closer to the coast. But high temperatures will likely reach the mid-upper 80s in many areas again. Some inland spots could reach around 90 degrees again. These temperatures will likely be a few degrees short of record highs for today.

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Miguel Pierre

Premium PM Update: Very Warm, More Humid Midweek…More Unsettled Late Week

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After some cooler than normal and dreary weather much of last week, more summer-like weather returns this week. This afternoon we already saw temperatures in the mid-upper 80s. The next few days will feature warmer than average temperatures. However, more unsettled weather may be arriving by the end of this week, as a large trough and frontal boundary approaches from the west. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Emily over Florida today, will be moving out to sea later this week.

First for tonight, mostly tranquil and comfortable conditions are expected. A few isolated showers or thunderstorms that developed over Interior NY and PA, will diminish this evening, as a surface trough and instability weakens. Then skies will be clear to partly cloudy for the rest of tonight, with low temperatures ranging from the 60s over the Interior to lower 70s near the coast. If skies clear enough, some of the interior valleys and Pine Barrens may drop into the mid-upper 50s by daybreak, with more radiational cooling. Some areas of patchy fog may also develop over Interior valleys overnight.

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