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PM Update: Nicer Friday, but unsettled weekend expected

After a “dud” of a day on Thursday, things are at least looking partially “up” for the weekend. Temperatures on Thursday throughout most of the area barely escaped the 60’s and 70’s, with low clouds and drizzle remaining commonplace during the day. A cool, marine flow can be thanked for that. Much of the same is expected through the first half of the evening on Thursday as well, although some increase in humidity should be notable.

By Friday morning, things will start to change for the better. Temperatures will rebound into the 80’s during the day on Friday, with partly cloudy skies anticipated. The marine layer from Thursday will be scoured out of the area, allowing for sunshine to return. The big game changer? Winds turn westerly during the morning — a big difference from Thursday, when they were coming out of the south and east, off the cool area waters.

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PM Update: Departing storms, continually unsettled

Showers and thunderstorm, none severe, moved through the NYC area during this afternoon and early evening. Sparked by a mid level disturbance and surface cold front, the storms were mainly of the “Garden variety”, although some of them packed some gusty winds. Tropical moisture in place added to threat for heavy rain, which did result in some localized flooding. But overall, a lack of instability in the atmosphere kept any severe weather threat from materializing.

The same was not true over Southern NJ, where better surface instability led to the development of a few supercells, which caused wind damage over Southern New Jersey earlier today. For most of the region, however, the good news is this: This front will slide southward and bring cooler, less humid, and more stable to the area tonight.

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Heat, unsettled weather will continue this weekend

After our area was able to escape strong to severe thunderstorms on Thursday, many expected Friday to be cooler and more refreshing. You were wrong. Mid level temperatures remain hot — even behind the wind shift boundary that was able to touch off some severe thunderstorms in Pennsylvania on Thursday. As it turns out, mid level capping and dry air in those levels of the atmosphere was able to suppress any thunderstorm development in our area.

Friday will feature conditions quite similar to Thursday. Temperatures will rise into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s away from the area beaches. Humidity values, though lower than Thursday, will still make the air feel somewhat uncomfortable. The air quality will also remain poor. Heat Advisories are in effect to the south and west of New York City, nearer to the Philadelphia metropolitan area.

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Weekend will bring improving, warmer weather

The stretch of unsettled weather this week brought about temperatures in the 60’s, with an onshore flow and marine air. Plenty of showers marred the forecast from Monday through Friday, and winds off the area waters meant more humid and cool conditions. Although we are fast approaching the summer season, this week felt more like April than anything else. Luckily, the weekend will be the start of improving conditions and a trend toward at least more seasonable temperatures.

Although winds will be variable, and the coast will remain somewhat cooler than surrounding areas, temperatures will warm into the 70’s during the day on Saturday, especially in the interior. The warm sun will be a welcomed addition to the day, after a cloudy start, given the weather we have experienced over the past week. It will certainly feel warmer than it has in a while. Southwesterly winds will eventually try to take over, and bring warmer air into the area as well.

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