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Forecast Discussions
Joaquin strengthens, models shift dramatically seaward with track
As it moved through the very warm ocean waters near the Bahamas on Thursday, Hurricane Joaquin strengthened further, reaching Category 4 status on Thursday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds reached 130 miles per hour. The National Hurricane Center suggests additional strengthening is possible, with maximum sustained winds approaching 140 miles per hour. Computer models have continued […]
Joaquin likely to impact US East Coast, local impacts uncertain
Hurricane Joaquin strengthened this morning, with maximum sustained winds of 80 miles per hour, in the Caribbean. The hurricane is expected to strengthen further over the next few days as it meanders in the Southwest Atlantic. Warm waters and minimal shear will continue to support storm organization. Thereafter, Joaquin is expected to make a turn […]
Tropical system, blocking will lead to forecasting headache
It has been a while since the meteorological community has had the chance to analyze the potential for higher latitude blocking. It has also been a while since we’ve had the opportunity to analyze a synoptic heavy rain event. Both of those look to come to fruition, in multiple facets, over the next five to […]
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