Entries by John Homenuk

Cold flip increasing likely, but longevity in question

A good Wednesday afternoon to you! While the temperature remains largely above average in the Central and Eastern United States today and over the next few days, we have been discussing for quite some time the idea that a noticeable change is forthcoming. This change is still very much on schedule, and in fact confidence in […]

Cooler risks increasing, volatile pattern on horizon

Happy Tuesday! For the past several days, discussions have turned from the presence of abnormal and anomalous warmth towards winds of change, which are signaling the return of cooler air and a volatile weather pattern. Overnight forecast models continue to supplement these ideas, with further confirmation that the pattern is set to undergo wholesale changes […]

October Outlook: Why anomalous warmth could return

Several daily temperature records were broken over the past several days throughout the Eastern United States, particularly this weekend when temperatures reached into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s. Much of this warmth was aided and enhanced by the development of a large, sprawling mid and upper level atmospheric ridge. This ridge acted to enhance the flow of a warm, southwesterly flow, which effectively advected warmth into the agriculture regions and eventually into the Northeast as well.

In the near future, a potent cold front is expected to gradually shift east/southeastward into the Great Lakes, eventually making headway towards the Eastern United States. This front will provide some temporary relief in terms of temperature for harvesting in the near future, and will have many thinking that fall weather is finally on the way — but not so fast. There is more to the forecast, suggesting that anomalous warmth could return very soon.

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Irma a powerful Category 5 Hurricane moving toward Caribbean

Hurricane Irma maintained immense strength and power per this evenings 8:00pm National Hurricane Center Advisory, with maximum sustained winds of 185mph. The Hurricane is in the upper echelon of Atlantic-based storms, packing the second highest sustained winds on record since the satellite era of hurricane observations began. Irma will continue on a west/northwest heading this evening, on course for potentially catastrophic impacts in parts of the Caribbean.

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