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October Outlook: Why anomalous warmth could return

Several daily temperature records were broken over the past several days throughout the Eastern United States, particularly this weekend when temperatures reached into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s. Much of this warmth was aided and enhanced by the development of a large, sprawling mid and upper level atmospheric ridge. This ridge acted to enhance the flow of a warm, southwesterly flow, which effectively advected warmth into the agriculture regions and eventually into the Northeast as well.

In the near future, a potent cold front is expected to gradually shift east/southeastward into the Great Lakes, eventually making headway towards the Eastern United States. This front will provide some temporary relief in terms of temperature for harvesting in the near future, and will have many thinking that fall weather is finally on the way — but not so fast. There is more to the forecast, suggesting that anomalous warmth could return very soon.

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