NYC Forecast: Pleasant Labor Day, unsettled by midweek
Pleasant conditions will remain in place for the next few days, including Labor Day, with high pressure in control. The weather will trend gradually warmer and more humid through midweek. Unsettled conditions will then return during the latter half of the week, and perhaps continuing through the weekend.
QuickCast
This afternoon: Calm and pleasant with lots of sunshine. Low dew points will keep conditions feeling fresh. High temperatures are expected to reach the upper 70’s and lower 80’s – right near normal for this time of year.
Tonight: Mostly clear and calm conditions will continue. Low temperatures will fall into the middle 60’s.
Labor Day: Warm and pleasant once again, with humidity only gradually increasing. High temperatures will reach the lower 80’s with a light southerly wind.
Discussion: Unsettled weather to return midweek
The week will begin with pleasant and low humidity weather, with high temperatures right near seasonable averages. By the middle of the week, however, temperatures will warm and humidity will rise with a notably more uncomfortable feel to the airmass. A large ridge will expand towards the area from the Western Atlantic Ocean, allowing more humid marine air to infiltrate the region.
By Wednesday, forecast model guidance strongly suggests that showers and unsettled conditions will return to the forecast. Lower pressures associated with a weak disturbance offshore will move towards the coast, and a frontal system will gradually approach the area from the west. The combination of increased moisture and lift from these two systems could lead to showery, unsettled conditions for at least a few days.
Depending on how quickly this front clears the area, the unsettled weather could persist into the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will average near normal during this time, but the real story will be the increased humidity and opportunity for rainfall. High pressure doesn’t look to return in earnest until about a week from now – late next weekend.