Fake Spring 2.0? Models converging on warmer pattern change in NYC

Winter is not over…yet. 

Forecast model guidance is in good agreement that the weather pattern will trend much warmer in the Eastern United States from late February into early March. Temperatures could rise well above normal starting late next week, offering us yet another taste spring – is it real, or do we have another “fake spring” on our hands?

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Winter Storm Warning issued for NYC as major storm approaches

A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for New York City from 4am to 6pm Tuesday. Heavy snow and gusty winds are expected, with snowfall totals of 4 to 8 inches likely and locally higher amounts possible.

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Winter storm, snow expected in NYC on Tuesday

A winter storm will impact NYC on Tuesday, bringing the potential for mixed precipitation and accumulating snowfall. There is still a great deal of uncertainty regarding exactly how the storm will play out, resulting in a low confidence forecast overall.

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Could it actually snow in NYC next week?

Forecast model data suggests that a coastal storm will pass south of the area on Tuesday, with cold air pushing in during the storm and leading to the potential for winter weather. Inconsistencies on model guidance with the track and intensity of the storm are leading to an unusually low confidence forecast. 

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