Entries by Miguel Pierre

The importance of a cross polar flow and Aleutian ridge in December

Multiple ensemble guidance indicate a major pattern change over the Pacific region. A ridge will builds near Aleutians then poleward into the Bering Strait and the Artic Ocean next week. This will cause cross-polar flow to finally setup over the North America.  All the anomalous cold air that is has been over much of Eurasia […]

Premium Weekly Outlook: Heavy Rainfall Likely Tuesday and Wednesday

The region has under moderate to severe drought conditions for over past several weeks. But a expansive, complex storm system centered over middle of part of the county, will impact the region Tuesday through Wednesday night, with more widespread, heavy rains likely. A closed upper-level low embedded within larger tough will be moving from the […]

What the stratosphere and tropical Pacific can tell us about December

For the better part of the last three weeks, our forecasters have been discussing and monitoring the potential for a pattern change throughout the hemisphere. Medium range model guidance has often been gung-ho with the pattern changing within 7 days. As is often the case, forecast models were too quick to change the pattern. Much […]

Saturday Overview: Chilly Weather Today…Milder on Sunday

A colder airmass settled over the region, as expected overnight and this morning. But this airmass will be already on it way out this afternoon, as the pattern remains quite progressive. After quite a cold start with most of the area dropping into the 30s and some upper 20s, temperatures will rise into the upper […]