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Forecast Discussions

Winter Outlook 2012-13

Introduction/Methodology: Last winter featured a highly dominant pattern of lower pressures in the Arctic and higher pressures in the mid-latitudes, especially the United States. This was a classic +AO/NAO regime in which the strong jet stream precluded the amplification of cold troughs into any part of the US. As a result, the November-April period of […]

Forecast: Seasonable, dry weather holds until weekend

A stretch of dry and pleasant weather has continued into the early part of this week, and the seasonable and dry trend will continue through the middle and end of it as a high pressure remains in control. The pattern looks to change in the long range, but for now it will remain seasonable as […]

Colder, active pattern looks likely to open meteorological winter

Although many of us have already seen a significant snowfall on November 7th, we are getting closer to December — the start of meteorological winter — so many of you must be wondering when to expect more snow. I can’t tell you that specifically, but a detailed model analysis may point to a relatively favorable […]

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