Entries by Tom Stavola

Mid to Late February Pattern Relaxation…But is That It?

The winter regime that has been dominant since November will be breaking down over the course of the next 5 to 7 days. However, does that mean winter is ending? I will be providing evidence to the contrary in this discussion. First, let’s not ignore the storm threat immediately in front of us. After a […]

End of Month Storm Threat Could Precede Active February Pattern…

Old man winter has returned in a big way over the past week, complete with severe cold, bitter wind chills, and significant snow across much of the Northeastern US. Our brief January thaw has transitioned into a highly amplified, meridional pattern, as the EPO continues strongly negative. This north Pacific / Alaskan block has been […]

Mid January thaw a transient interruption in the pattern

The pattern over recent weeks has proven to be an interesting one across the majority of the United States, as the record cold temperatures and plentiful snow has visited folks from the Mid-west, Great Lakes, and the Northeast. Our significant snowstorm last week was due in large part to the negative EPO / positive PNA […]