Entries by Tom Stavola

Cold pattern looms for the first half of January

As we approach the end of 2013, we close the books on a very wintry month of December for both the NYC metro area and the United States as a whole. From record lows across the Rockies, Plains, and Mid-west, frequent snow/ice events for the Northeast, a recent major ice storm for Northern New England, […]

The forecast headache that is next week

Arctic air will be pouring into the Rockies, Pacific NW, and Northern Plains over the next several days as the mid level ridge centered near Alaska energizes. Whenever we see the Alaskan ridge, it suggests that cross polar flow has initiated from Siberia to North America due to the clockwise flow around that mid level […]

Winter Outlook 2013-14

Disclaimer: Long range outlooks continue to be a work in progress, and although our understanding of meteorological processes has grown, the nonlinear, chaotic nature of weather makes this task a very difficult one. With that being said, We will provide meteorological reasoning for what we believe the upcoming winter’s patterns will be! Primary variables of […]

Importance of the North Pacific Pattern in Autumn

As we progress deeper into the autumn season, many are beginning to wonder if the upcoming cold pattern is a precursor to the type of winter that we will see. Unfortunately, it is not as easy as cold October yields cold winter or warm October yields warm winter. If that were the case, we’d have […]