Below, you will find our 2013 Summer Outlook. We’ve laid out the details and broken down the expected temperatures and precipitation, as well as factors and reasoning involved in the outlook. We encourage your comments, thoughts and feedback! Factors/Expectations: 1) Neutral ENSO conditions should persist through the upcoming summer with sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) […]
One of the coldest springs in recent history nationwide continues to roll forward with the potential for one more shot of winter across the Mid-west and Northeast. Since February 1st, we have seen a dramatic reversal in temperature anomalies from the blowtorch Dec-Jan period to the very cold Feb-Mar-April of 2013. The only mild areas […]
If we’re looking at this like a medical disorder, we can examine the symptoms and the root of the problem with this storm. The symptoms of the illness were the following: 1) Progressive, unorganized trough, in which some of the H5 vort energy ran out ahead of the energy rounding the base of the trough. […]
Introduction/Methodology: Last winter featured a highly dominant pattern of lower pressures in the Arctic and higher pressures in the mid-latitudes, especially the United States. This was a classic +AO/NAO regime in which the strong jet stream precluded the amplification of cold troughs into any part of the US. As a result, the November-April period of […]