After transient warmup, winter set to return

This is not the news many were hoping to hear this morning. Unfortunately, it’s the news we have to provide as a result of medium and long term forecast modeling and the overall hemispheric evolution over the next two weeks. Luckily for those who enjoy the warmth, today looks to be the winner of the week. Behind a mid level atmospheric disturbance which provided the area with rain on Tuesday, warm mid level temperatures will remain in the area on Wednesday. Periods of sunshine and west winds will allow temperatures to rise into the mid to upper 50’s throughout the area. Some areas will approach and may even exceed 60 degrees during the afternoon. Others, especially near the shore, will remain slightly cooler.

The warmth, as is often the case this time of year, won’t last long. Colder mid and upper level temperatures will push southward on Thursday and Friday and temperatures will move back toward more normal levels. The transient pattern will continue through the weekend as another disturbance approaches — bringing precipitation mainly in the form of rain, as temperatures briefly warm up once again before crashing back down on Sunday. Still, that will be just the beginning of the trend toward a colder, more active pattern which will establish itself in the medium to long range.

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