Showers and thunderstorms rumbled through the area from Monday afternoon and were continuing to impact isolated areas on Monday evening, but the airmass behind them won’t be much cooler than the one
which preceded them earlier on Monday afternoon. In fact, the airmass is expected to get warmer with time this week. Temperatures in the low to mid 90’s are expected on Tuesday, with upper 80’s to low 90’s again expected on Wednesday. The warmer air will come with more humidity, so a generally uncomfortable mid-week is on the way. By the end of the week, more storms (possibly strong and severe once again) are expected on Thursday and Friday, with a warm and cold front interacting near the area. First, organized storms are possible Thursday near a warm front and surface low. Finally, with a cold front ready to sweep through the area on Friday, more organized storms will remain a possibility. The Storm Prediction Center mentions in the Days 4-8 outlook that a “considerable amount of convection” is possible from the Great Lakes into the Northeast towards the end of this week. We’ll certainly be keeping an eye on it, so stay tuned!
Mondays storms offered severe weather mainly over New Jersey, with the shear direction and marine layer keeping New York City and coastal areas safe. 1.25″ diameter hail was reported in parts of New Jersey with a complex of storms that moved through Monday afternoon. Stay tuned for further updates on the severe weather threat which may develop later this week!