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Cool & Unsettled Weather into This Weekend

While we ponder over today a stunning new report on the Blizzard of 2016, we’re also looking at the weather over the next few days.  It appears that we are entering a cooler and unsettled pattern going into this weekend and beyond. Although we are not looking at any complete washouts yet–at least through Saturday.

For the rest of this afternoon, sunshine will gradually fade behind increasing and thickening clouds. This happens as a wave of low pressure moving east over the Mid-Atlantic region causes the frontal boundary lift northward.  Strong confluence underneath an upper-level low over Southeast Canada will keep this frontal boundary south of the region. But some showers will spread north over parts the region later today and early tonight. Generally, light rainfall amounts are anticipated. Temperatures should reach the upper 50s to lower 60s for highs this afternoon.

HRRR

HRRR model showing showers over the region early this evening

Later tonight, showers may taper off, this low pressure moves out to sea. But an onshore flow will cause overcast skies to remain and keep temperatures from dropping as low as recent nights, especially for the interior valleys and pine barrens. Tomorrow will continue to be mostly cloudy with light onshore flow. More showers are still possible, especially late tomorrow evening as an upper-level disturbance passes through the region. But much of the time will be raw and chilly with temperatures only reaching the middle to upper 50s.

High pressure will build in briefly for Saturday. Partly sunny skies are expected. But light southeast winds will keep temperatures below normal in the upper 50s to lower 60s.  Then clouds begin increasing during Saturday night. Some rain could arrive late Saturday night, with the next storm system.

NAM model showing the next storm bringingrainfall with onshore winds and temperatures in 40s on Sunday afternoon

NAM model showing the next storm bringing rainfall with onshore winds and temperatures in 40s on Sunday afternoon

It’s little too early nail down the details. But model guidance shows a series of waves of low pressure moving through the region Sunday. Periods of rain and drizzle are becoming increasingly likely on both days. It will be also be raw and chilly, with an onshore flow holding temperatures in the 40s or 50s throughout the area both days.

Saturday will definitely better of two days this weekend, especially for outdoor activities. Unfortunately, Sunday is looking like a wet, dismal day at this time. But rainfall is much needed our area to alleviate the fire danger threat. We also have four to six inch rainfall deficits in the local climate reporting stations since March 1st. If you haven’t yet,  you can sign up for our premium membership for more forecast updates.

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