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Confidence increasing in development of cold, active pattern in Eastern US

Good morning and happy Wednesday, everyone! Anomalous warmth has currently spread across a large majority of the United States, well forecast in is breadth and timing, but impressive nonetheless. Since the beginning of the week, much of the Midwestern United States has been blanketed by temperatures several degrees above normal averages for this time of year. The mid and upper level ridge in the atmosphere that is responsible for this warmth will continue its trek eastward over the next few days, allowing warmer temperatures to gradually move towards the Eastern United States.

As we speak, thousands of miles away, in the North Pacific Ocean, a major change to the hemispheric weather pattern is underway. This fundamental change will mark the end of the anomalous warmth across the aforementioned regions, working in tandem with several other global circulations to support the development of an anomalously cold pattern. In fact, by the middle of next week, temperatures will fall well below average across a large portion of the Mississippi River Valley and East Coast. This will obviously have a large impact on the markets, and Gas Weighted Heating Degree Days are expected to quickly jump above the 10 and 30 year averages. Lets break down why this is happening and how we can expect things to evolve.

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