NYC Forecast: Heat continues, storms possible Tuesday

Highlights: Heat will continue for the next few days, and a Heat Advisory remains in effect for the NYC Metro Area through Monday. Showers and storms are possible on Tuesday with a front passing the area. Seasonable conditions are then expected for the remainder of the week.

QuickCast 

This afternoon: Hot and humid. Very light westerly winds, with an afternoon Seabreeze along the coast. Highs in the 90’s pretty much everywhere,

Tonight: Warm and humid weather continues, with lows in the 70’s. No weather hazards to speak of.

Monday (7/27): Partly cloudy with hot and humid weather continuing. This will be the hottest day of the week, with Heat Index values reaching near or over 100 F throughout a large part of the area.

Tuesday (7/28): A frontal boundary approaches the area, leading to the chance of showers and storms. Highs in the lower 90’s are still likely, with showers and storms during the afternoon. A few could be strong or severe.

Extended Forecast Discussion

Conditions will trend more seasonable as we move into the middle and latter portion of the upcoming week. High temperatures are likely to average from the mid 80’s to lower 90’s throughout the area, with very little chance of precipitation. In fact, conditions look mostly dry from Wednesday into the weekend. Humidity will also trend a bit lower during this time.

As we move towards next weekend, temperatures should begin to warm above seasonal averages again, and humidity will increase as ridging builds back in towards the area. Expect highs to begin creeping back into the lower 90’s during this time, with dew points returning to slightly more uncomfortable levels.

Eyes will more than likely turn to the tropics during this time as well, with disturbance 92L forecast by almost all ensemble guidance to gradually move towards the United States. Uncertainty is extremely high in regards to the systems eventual development and track, but the synoptic weather pattern across the Atlantic Ocean and North America suggests that we should keep an eye on it. We’ll have a separate article on 92L later today.