Energy/AGwx Video Update: Tracking the Heat Ridge

Good afternoon! While the main story in the short term is the continued cool and wet AG Belt, we are quickly going to transition to a pattern that is much hotter across much of the Eastern US. A massive heat ridge will build in the Eastern US, giving a prolonged heat wave with multiple days approaching 100 degrees in many spots. This will also be a much drier pattern for the Heartland, although the ridge’s periphery will still be able to provide moisture for the Northern Plains.

The main story going forward will be tracking the heat ridge’s progression. While it is very likely that this ridge will retrogress, figuring the exact timing and orientation of its retrogression will be key regarding the continue warm risks going forward, as well as the potential transition to cooler and wetter. A look at AAM correlations gives us strong clues regarding what this ridge will ultimately do.

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