The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the NYC Metro and surrounding areas of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut until 9:00pm. Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon. In the presence of ample instability and wind shear, storms will be capable of organizing quickly.
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The Storm Prediction Center has placed the NYC Metro Area in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon. The main threats with any storms are expected to be strong wind gusts and heavy rain, but a few isolated tornadoes and small hail can’t be ruled out either.
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An EF-0 tornado touched down in Manorville, NY on Monday afternoon, producing winds up to 85 miles per hour. The tornado was on the ground for 1.6 miles and caused significant tree and structural damage, although it was only 50 yards in width.
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Welcome to meteorological Autumn! Pleasant and calm weather is expected in NYC early this week, with high pressure in complete control. This will lead to seasonable temperatures and plenty of sunshine. The nice weather will continue through at least Wednesday.
The forecast takes a bit of an unsettled turn as we approach the back half of the week, when Hurricane Dorian is expected to swing up (and off) the US East Coast. The potential for some fringe impacts do exist along the area shores.
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