Entries by Doug Simonian

Inching Closer to Snow this Weekend

As many of you know by now, there are two threats for snow over the next few days: the first of which starting late Thursday night and Friday, and the second of which on Saturday. While most model guidance verbatim is still not impressive with either threat, there have been many impressive trends today, particularly […]

Public: Chilly & Breezy, but not Cold as the Calendar Turns to 2017

Happy New Year, everyone! The weather today is relatively pleasant with seasonable temperatures but a relatively stiff southerly wind at times. Wind gusts will continue to be around 30mph for most of the day. We have a decently potent shortwave to the north that is pumping up some southerly flow out ahead of it and […]

Multiple Wave-Breaking Events Support an early January Snowstorm

While the coast is experiencing yet another rain event to end 2016, there are many changes currently ongoing to the pattern that could open the door for a widespread snow event in the beginning of 2017. How long the pattern change lasts for is a different discussion and will be talked about in our long […]

The return of cold and unreliability of forecast models

So far this month, Central Park is running two degrees below average as a result of an impressive North Pacific wave-breaking event that shifted the cold from Siberia into North America and the US. The cold has since generally retreated northward as a result of an expanding Pacific Jet that collapsed the ridge in Alaska […]