Entries by Doug Simonian

Harvey Video Analysis: Significant Flooding in Texas Likely

Good afternoon! As we speak, Harvey has regenerated into a Tropical Depression and will soon become a Tropical Storm. It will continue to slowly move northwest over the next couple of days around the periphery of a ridge in the Gulf of Mexico. There are still a lot of uncertainties regarding its exact track and […]

September 2017 Outlook

We are already rapidly approaching a new time of year — Meteorological Fall — which starts on September 1st. As the seasons begins to turn, we always find a little extra excitement in issuing our September outlook. There is something inherently more significant about it; maybe the colder trend in temperature, the approaching change in […]

PM AG Update: After Moderation, Cool Risk Returns

The retrogression in the Pacific has long been advertised, and it will certainly help a good chunk of the US modify in week 2, and into a decent chunk of the week 3 period as well, as a large ridge builds across much of the US. Now that we have this idea figured out with […]

Midday AG Update: Retrogression Theme Remains

Happy Tuesday! We’re going to dive straight into the latest model guidance today and detail some of the latest available information. Fortunately, there has not been much of a change in last night’s and this morning’s guidance — a good signal that the retrogression ideas discussed in yesterday’s AG update are in fact holding true. […]