Gorgeous week ahead: 80s on Wednesday

We hope everyone enjoyed the beautiful weather we had today! This trend is expected to continue, but with gradually rising temperatures through Wednesday. A weak backdoor front will cross Wednesday night, cooling temperatures a tad for Thursday and Friday, but highs will still run well above average. An additional weak warm front may develop for Friday night, resulting in a few showers.

Current surface analysis indicates a departing low pressure system offshore, and building high pressure systems to our south.

Current surface analysis indicates a departing low pressure system offshore, and building high pressure systems to our south.

Current surface analysis shows a large area of high pressure to our south, helping to deliver pleasant, warm conditions. This ridge of high pressure has gradually been building northward, but had been a bit halted by the departing low pressure to the east. Remember, that storm well offshore was what some models had being a major nor’easter last week — thank goodness it missed! Tonight will be pleasant and cool; clear skies and low temperatures dropping into the 50s.

As the low pressure continues to escape further from our area, that will give more room for the ridge of high pressure to build northward. This will lead to temperatures warming into the upper 70s to around 80 tomorrow, and potentially mid 80s on Wednesday! The building area of high pressure and the clockwise flow around it will bring warmer mid-level temperatures, and westerly winds — downsloping off of the Appalachian Mountains — which yields maximizing warmth, even for coastal locations. Low temperatures will be in the upper 50s for most locations — with lower 60s in more urban areas.

There may be a few stratus and cumulus clouds tomorrow as a weak shortwave traverses on top of the ridge, giving some on-and-off periods of shade and sun, but partly cloudy skies should mostly prevail. Wednesday will be mostly sunny.

This afternoon's high resolution NAM model shows temperatures warming into the low and mid 80s for Wednesday afternoon.

This afternoon’s high resolution NAM model shows temperatures warming into the low and mid 80s for Wednesday afternoon.

As seen in the image above, the entire area is projected to reach the low to mid 80s for Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday will see temperatures cool down to around 80, and Friday will have temperatures in the upper 70s with a few more clouds around ahead of a weak developing warm front. Any potential showers should hold off until Friday evening and night as the warm front crosses the area, but it will not be a washout.

The weekend will continue to feature above-average temperatures due to the passage of the warm front.

The next chance of more organized rain will be on Sunday night and Monday. But this is far out in the future, and there are still many variables at play — the chance is there that the rain could miss to our west.

For now, enjoy the terrific weather this week!

Forecast: Another stretch of awesome weather

There hasn’t been much to complain about lately, at least when it comes to the weather. In the last week, we have been fortunate enough to settle into a very pleasant pattern. Last week itself featured 5 straight pleasant days featuring low humidity and plenty of sun. After a brief return to humidity and a cold front with showers on Saturday into Sunday, the comfortable weather has returned again. In fact, this airmass is a bit more chilly — if you haven’t already noticed this morning. Temperatures fell into the 30’s in the interior this morning, and the upper 40’s even in the urban areas. The low of 47 was the coldest so far this season in New York City.

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Pleasant weather, wet weekend, foliage update

The weather over the past several days has been astonishingly pleasant – with highs in the low to mid 70’s, abundant sunshine and low humidity. A Canadian high pressure, which settled into the area earlier this week, has modified a bit — but continues to provide benign weather and comfortable air. The low humidity and near-average highs for this time of the year are comfortable by nature. The deep blue skies will continue for another day on Thursday, with highs expected to reach into the middle to upper 70’s. A few clouds could sneak in on Friday, but the idea of calm weather and comfortable air will continue. Thursday Night will still be a bit brisk, with lows falling into the 50’s.

 

Surface analysis and observations from the morning of September 19th, 2013 in the Northeast US, showing a high pressure in control but beginning to weaken.

Surface analysis and observations from the morning of September 19th, 2013 in the Northeast US, showing a high pressure in control but beginning to weaken.

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Wednesday to bring another gem, another launch

The weather on Tuesday was amazingly comfortable, with plenty of sun and a light breeze. When we said earlier this week that the weather would be incredible this entire work week, we weren’t kidding. Another gem of a day is expected on Wednesday, as highs will moderate only a few degrees towards the lower to mid 70’s. A Canadian high pressure system will remain in control through Friday, and highs will rise a little bit each day as the airmass modifies. But clear skies and light winds are expected once again on Wednesday — making the midweek day especially pleasant. A chilly start can be expected once again for the morning commute on Wednesday, as lows will dip into the upper 30’s and 40’s in the suburbs for the second straight morning.

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