More heavy rain expected in the Northeast on Wednesday

A complex storm system will continue its evolution throughout the United States from later Tuesday into Wednesday. The first round shifted northeast of the Mid Atlantic this evening, moving towards Southern New England. A strong low level jet associated with this system aided in the development of widespread heavy rain, with many areas receiving well over 1″ of rainfall by the time the system ended.

Another disturbance, embedded within the same storm system, will approach the Northeast US on Wednesday. Ahead of its arrival, southwest winds will commence and warm, moist air will push northeast late Tuesday Night into Wednesday ahead of a warm front. This will allow some areas of dense fog to develop during the overnight period and into the morning hours of Wednesday.

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Tuesday Overview: Dreary, rainy conditions continue

A complex and large storm system sprawled across the United States will continue to affect the area for the remainder of the day today. Periods of heavy rain are likely to continue, especially across parts of Long Island and Connecticut as the evening goes on. The area should see a gradual drying trend by this evening as this first disturbance moves away.

Another one is right on its heels, however — and although things will feel a bit warmer on Wednesday, they will also be more humid and more unsettled. Heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms will again be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening before a cold front clears the area Thursday morning. Here are some weather highlights. As always, sign up for Premium to get detailed posts, videos, and more! 

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Premium Weekly Outlook: Heavy Rainfall Likely Tuesday and Wednesday

The region has under moderate to severe drought conditions for over past several weeks. But a expansive, complex storm system centered over middle of part of the county, will impact the region Tuesday through Wednesday night, with more widespread, heavy rains likely. A closed upper-level low embedded within larger tough will be moving from the Upper Midwest to Great Lakes. This will cause a mid-level ridge to build over the Eastern US with a mild, moist southerly flow. A couple disturbances with a frontal boundaries will be rotating around the closed upper-level low and trough, causing two rounds of significant rainfall over the region.

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Multiple rounds of heavy rain likely in the Northeast this week

An expansive and multi-faceted storm system will develop throughout the United States during the early and middle part of the upcoming week. Multiple pieces of energy will move from the Plains through the Mississippi and Ohio Valley’s and eventually towards the Northeast — each disturbance aiding in the development of heavy rain over a relatively large area. While wintry precipitation and severe weather are both possible in the Central United States, the main focus in the Northeast will be periods of heavy rain — much needed in many areas.

While uncertainty does exist given the multiple disturbances and intricate interactions between fronts, confidence has increased in the heavy rain threat over the past 24 to 48 hours. Forecast model and ensemble guidance has come into much better agreement on the storms overall evolution, with two separate rounds of rainfall likely in the Northeast US from Tuesday through Thursday.

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