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64 search results for: El Niño

5

Moderate to strong El Nino becoming increasingly likely

While our area has been enjoying a stretch of pleasant and warmer weather, many meteorologists and weather hobbyists alike have been analyzing interesting data in the Equatorial Pacific: signs of a developing El Nino. An El Nino is generally defined as a trimonthly period where waters in the Equatorial Pacific — from 160 Degrees East […]

6

Why might forecast models be diverging with the long range pattern?

Good morning! The past several days have been quite active in the meteorological community.We began last week on the tail end of a pattern featuring stagnant warmth, with ridging in the Eastern United States and cold air bottled up in Western Canada and the Pacific Northwest. A well advertised change has occurred since that time, […]

7

What the stratosphere and tropical Pacific can tell us about December

For the better part of the last three weeks, our forecasters have been discussing and monitoring the potential for a pattern change throughout the hemisphere. Medium range model guidance has often been gung-ho with the pattern changing within 7 days. As is often the case, forecast models were too quick to change the pattern. Much […]

8

La Nina Update: Moderate or Strong Event Unlikely This Year

While we had been tracking heat and severe thunderstorms over the first few months of the summer, the atmosphere was still undergoing a major transition away from El Nino and towards a La Nina. This transition has already resulted in sensible weather changes across much of the country, with a huge heat ridge building in the Central […]