Posts

Steven Copertino

Public Analysis: Dreary Pattern Finally Breaks, Heat Wave Next Week?

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Good Evening! 

Today was a rather mild and mostly cloudy day across the area, but even this was a pretty sizable improvement compared to what the region saw yesterday when driving rains, cloudy skies, and well-below temperatures dominated the day. The pattern of a weak to moderately negative North Atlantic Oscillation that has been producing dreary conditions and below normal temperatures for the past few weeks will finally begin to break down in quite a big way.  Over the next few days, a large upper level trough off of the west coast will replace the large-scale ridge that has almost been a semi-permanent feature this Spring, and as this trough begins to dig in and strengthen, there will likely be some rather significant ramifications for our weather this weekend and into next week.

While all of the models and the overall pattern shaping up in the atmosphere screams that it will indeed get quite warm over the next week, the ceiling for next weeks high temperatures could be quite high-and we may even be talking about a heatwave for portions of the Northeast when all is said and done!

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This Evening Into Thursday 

As mentioned above, today was still pretty mild and mostly cloudy by normal standards, but the pattern we have been locked in for the past four weeks or so now has been anything but normal. It may be hard to believe, but temperatures were actually a good 5-15 degrees above what they were yesterday at this time. Some cloudy conditions were observed over much of the area this afternoon as the pesky, lingering upper-level system that brought the heavy rain to the Northeast yesterday still meandered just to the south of the area. Even though there was sufficient energy still in the atmosphere, northerly winds ushered in dry air from Canada pretty much killed any chance of showers this afternoon, and it should remain this way throughout the rest of the day as winds from the north/north east continue. With breaks of sun and more dry air taking over the region, most locations across the entire area saw temperatures get into the upper 60’s and lowers 70’s, with some slightly cooler conditions for those along the coast and under more dense cloud cover.

As we head into the evening hours tonight, increasing dry air from the northeast/east and a weak area of high pressure will take over, which should allow for any lingering clouds to continue to dissipate at a rather steady pace. This will result in mainly clear conditions this evening, and when coupled with the dry air and light winds, radiational cooling will once again take shape this evening, allowing for any heat absorbed at the surface levels this afternoon to be quickly radiated back out into the atmosphere. This will ensure that temperatures once again drop down into the lower to middle 50’s across most of the region, with 40’s possible for some of the more rural sections of New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey.

This evenings latest surface observations, visible satellite imagery, and regional radar mosaic, showing rather tranquil and cool conditions over the region (Courtesy of College of DuPage)

This evenings latest surface observations, visible satellite imagery, and regional radar mosaic, showing rather tranquil and cool conditions over the region (Courtesy of College of DuPage)

Tomorrow looks to be a rather close call for the area as only a few days ago, the computer models were showing that yet another system with the potential for heavy rain would impact the region. However, as of this afternoon the computer model guidance has backed off this idea significantly and now shows that any potential rain will mainly be located to the east of New York City and should not be all that impactful. This system is just another byproduct of the lingering upper level system over our area that will once again strengthen and in the process, drag energy along the base of the trough from the south.

This energy will then race off the east coast which should result in the development of an area of low pressure near North Carolina during the day tomorrow that will quickly race to the north and east, drawing close to the 40/70 benchmark by the evening hours. The good news about this storm system missing us to the east is that as all of the lift and rainfall heads off near the low pressure system, dry/sinking air will be present over western areas that will promote clear/clearing skies throughout the day.

Overall, tomorrow looks to start off rather clear, becoming cloudier with time from west to east. Additionally, any shower potential will be highest along far eastern portions of Long Island and Connecticut by the late evening hours. High should range in the lower to middle 70’s across the entire region, with the exception of eastern locations under the influence of clouds and potential showers.

This evenings latest Rapid Precision Model showing the coastal low exiting well to the east of the area, with only the eastern fringes of Long Island and Connecticut seeing any impacts (Courtesy of WSI)

This evenings latest Rapid Precision Model showing the coastal low exiting well to the east of the area, with only the eastern fringes of Long Island and Connecticut seeing any impacts (Courtesy of WSI)

Friday and Saturday 

Any lingering showers and associated cloudiness with the area of low pressure moving to the east of our area will likely end early Friday morning, which should give way to clearing skies and light northwesterly winds by early afternoon. With clear skies early on and light winds, temperatures should be able to quickly rebound into the middle 70’s across much of the area, but we may see some cumulus clouds begin to develop as the afternoon marches on due to rather cool upper level temperatures that will provide rapid condensation as the warm air near the surface begins to lift in elevation (steep low level lapse rates). With some weak instability likely present during the day, we may actually see showers and possibly some thunderstorms develop to the west of the immediate NYC area and begin to travel east. While these showers and thunderstorms do not look like they will be widespread and or severe in nature, some storms may produce heavy downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.

After this brief period of unstable weather, Saturday looks to be near-perfect with drier air feeding into the area, mostly sunny conditions and light winds will allow highs to climb into the low to mid 80’s on Saturday, with some slightly cooler temperatures to the east and along coastal locations.

Sunday and Beyond

Well the heat certainly looks to begin to build during the later half of the weekend and this is the news that many people have been anxiously awaiting for weeks now. Finally, it does appear that starting on Sunday a large ridge of high pressure will begin to build over the eastern third of the nation and will work to usher in much warmer mid and low level temperatures from the south/southwest. Highs on Sunday may range anywhere from the middle 80’s to lower 90’s, but this may only be the beginning.

As the ridge continues to flex its muscles again on Monday, more favorable mid level temperatures could allow temperatures to increase in magnitude once again, with highs possibly approaching the mid 90’s! Some uncertainty begins to arise starting Tuesday, as some models have a weak disturbance cooling things down, and another group of models have Tuesday once again reaching into the 90’s-which would make for a heat wave.

On Sunday/Monday/(possibly) Tuesday, we may see heat indices well into the 90’s and possibly even approach the century mark in a few select spots, so make sure to stay tuned for further updates from our forecasters as well as any potential heat advisories/warnings from the National Weather Service!

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For more information and posts like this one, make sure you sign up for Zone Forecasts — where multiple detailed articles, videos, and interactives are posted each day. Also, come interact with our staff and many other weather enthusiasts at 33andrain.com!

Have a great evening!

Steve Copertino

Steven Copertino

Public Analysis: Brief Taste of Summer, Cooler Conditions Likely This Weekend

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Good Afternoon! 

Earlier this week we mentioned that there was a strong likelihood that much of the area would be seeing temperatures rising into the mid to upper 80’s, and possibly 90’s starting today. This has indeed turned out to be true, with many stations this afternoon reporting highs in the lower 90’s across Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, and Connecticut. Tomorrow looks to be even warmer, with highs possibly reaching the mid 90’s by lunchtime tomorrow. However, this heat looks to be short-lived as another cool shot from Canada will likely bring temperatures back down to seasonable levels by this weekend!

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Due to the rather clear and calm conditions over the area last evening, most locations were able to drop down into the lower 50’s and upper 40’s during the early morning hours today, which made for a cool start to the day for anyone who was active before today’s sunrise. After sunrise, the clear and calm condition’s allowed temperatures to shoot up into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s across the entire region, with locations in Long Islands and coastal Connecticut seeing lower temps due to southerly winds coming off the of the cooler Atlantic ocean. This was quite the impressive rebound, and the 40+ degree rise in temperatures this afternoon actually helped a few record highs get surpassed, with LaGuardia Airport(NY), Monticello (NY), Danbury (CT), Hartford (CT), and Belmar (NJ) all beating their daily high temperatures. The rest of the afternoon should continue to be quite warm and pleasant, with the sea-breeze likely working its way deeper into portions of New Jersey, Southeastern New York, and Connecticut.

Later this evening, temperatures should stay relatively mild as the humidity begins to increase as a subtropical high pressure system off of the southeast coast continues to move eastward and pump up moisture from the Gulf and Atlantic. Clouds may begin to increase during the evening, as increasing high-level clouds were noted on the latest visible satellite imagery. Overnight lows should remain in the upper 50’s to upper 60’s across much of the area, with the exceptions of coastal communities, which may see lows in the middle 50’s due to continued southerly winds blowing in from the cooler Atlantic.

Latest visible satellite, surface temperatures, offshore buoy data, and regional radar mosaic showing very warm temperatures over the area this afternoon. Also note the cooler temperatures over Long Island and Connecticut due to the southerly winds from the Atlantic

Latest visible satellite, surface temperatures, offshore buoy data, and regional radar mosaic showing very warm temperatures over the area this afternoon. Also note the cooler temperatures over Long Island and Connecticut due to the southerly winds from the Atlantic

If today wasn’t a good enough taste of summer for you, then tomorrow will likely deliver what you desire. While we may see some overcast and broken clouds over coastal areas tomorrow morning due to the southerly winds and enhanced moisture in the lower-levels, these clouds will likely break up quite quickly during the early afternoon hours. With low-level temperatures already quite warm, clear skies, and great southerly flow, tomorrow looks to be on track to hit the upper 80’s to low 90’s across much of the area tomorrow. Some portions of Northeastern New Jersey and Connecticut may even see highs in the mid 90’s, while coastal areas of NJ, NY, and CT see cooler temperatures overall, especially once the sea-breezes begin to set in. With temps in the lower to mid 90’s, tomorrow has a high chance of breaking quite a few daily high temperature records, even more so than today did. These warm and humid conditions will likely remain well into Thursday evening, as the model guidance over the past few days has really delayed the timing of the next cold front. Expect lows to range from the upper 60’s to lower 70’s across much of the area (excluding coastal locations)

With the increasingly humid and hot conditions expected to persist into tomorrow afternoon, the National Weather Service has issued an Air Quality Alert for the entire region. Sensitive individuals including the very young, the elderly, and persons with respiratory diseases such as asthma, should avoid strenuous outdoor activities during the afternoon and early evening hours.

High resolution North American Model showing highs in the upper 80's to mid 90's tomorrow afternoon (Courtesy of Tomer Burg)

High resolution North American Model showing highs in the upper 80’s to mid 90’s tomorrow afternoon (Courtesy of Tomer Burg)

Friday Into This Weekend 

Friday will likely be warm, but not quite as warm as Wednesday (today) or Thursday were. Winds should begin to shift to more of a westerly direction during the day on Friday ahead of an approaching cold front located in Northern New York. However, it is likely that this cold front may take its time reaching the area, and with clear skies and southwesterly/westerly winds temperatures should easily reach into the mid 80’s across most of the region. Even though temperatures will remain rather warm, we should begin to see the humidity really drop off as the front ushers in drier Canadian air. Temperatures will gradually begin to fall off as the front should move through the area by late Friday afternoon or early evening. As this front drops southward through the area, temperature will drop into the more seasonable levels, with a more pronounced northwesterly wind developing.

It is worth noting that there is a potential that they delayed timing of the frontal system on Friday may allow instability to build up enough to the point that we may see isolated showers and thunderstorms develop. However, due to the dynamics that would allow the shower and thunderstorms to grow and become more widespread remaining concentrated to the northwest, it seems unlikely that any organized activity will be likely during the day on Friday.

High pressure coming from Canada will begin to move in during the evening hours on Friday, bringing a rather substantial change in air-masses. As the high pressure moves to our north on Saturday afternoon, cooler and drier conditions are likely to persist throughout the day as a more moderate maritime air-mass replaces the warm tropical air-mass that has been over our area. Highs will likely remain in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s across the entire are, with the exception of coastal locations on both Saturday and Sunday. Lows for both days will likely be quite cooler, reaching down into the mid to low 50’s once again. These temperatures will be quite a change, with highs being 12-15 degrees below-normal. Overall, it looks like a much more pleasant and seasonable weekend is on tap, so make sure to enjoy it!

This afternoons European model showing the potential for a pretty large-scale pattern change, with a deep trough located in the east for the middle half of next week and beyond

This afternoons European model showing the potential for a pretty large-scale pattern change, with a deep trough located in the east for the middle half of next week and beyond

The next rain threat looks to be on Monday as some showers and potentially a thunderstorm or two will be possible as another cold front associated with an area of low pressure will be moving through the Northeast.

This afternoons model guidance suggests that the negative NAO will once again flex its muscles, allowing for a large trough to dig into the central portion of the country and gradually progress eastward next week. This will help to once again create a stronger chance at below-normal temperatures and even the threat for a significant precipitation in the long-range as blocking continues to take shape over Atlantic Canada.

Some pleasant, warmer or drier weather could still return at times, as synoptic features in pattern still shuffle around somewhat. But no prolonged heat is expected.  Make sure to stay tuned as we get closer to Memorial Day and begin to get a grasp of what may be on the table for the holiday weekend!

For more information and posts like this one, make sure you sign up for Zone Forecasts — where multiple detailed articles, videos, and interactives are posted each day. Also, come interact with our staff and many other weather enthusiasts at 33andrain.com!

Have a great evening!

Steve Copertino

 

Steven Copertino

Public Analysis: Beautiful and Warm Easter Weekend, More Variations Next Week

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Good afternoon and Happy Friday!

The end of the work week will come to a very nice close today as high pressure dropping down from Canada is now in control of our weather for at least the next two days. With mostly sunny skies. low humidity, and light winds, this afternoon has been rather pleasant with highs reaching into the upper 50’s and low 60’s across the entire region as of 2pm. Even though it feels much cooler than the previous 80 degree days we’ve had earlier this week, these temperatures are still 5-10 degrees above normal for this time of year.

Some mid-high level clouds were noted on the latest visible satellite imagery this afternoon, streaming from the northwest, to southeast. This is mainly due to the cooler mid-level air from Canada interacting with the ever-so-slightly warmer air in the lower levels of the atmosphere that is situated over northeast Pennsylvania and portions of New Jersey. As the afternoon continues on, these clouds should begin to diminish and mostly sunny skies should continue until sunset across the area. There is a chance that some localized cloud cover may become established later today as a sea breeze begins to set up over coastal sections of New Jersey and Long Island. This may also in turn work to cool temperatures a little, possibly working them back into the mid 50’s.

With the aforementioned high pressure directly overhead this evening, winds will be calm, humidity will be low, and the skies should be relatively cloud-free. This will set the stage for what is known as radiational cooling to take place. Due to the absence of clouds to block outgoing heat from the Sun, any heat absorbed by the surface will easily be able to radiate back into the upper atmosphere and space. This will allow temperatures this evening to drop quite a bit this evening. The immediate New York metro area should be able to hold onto lows around the mid to upper 40’s this evening, but inland locations may see lows drop down into the low 40’s to even mid-upper 30’s in far northern NJ and portions of Upstate New York.

Latest visible satellite imagery, regional radar composite, and surface temperatures this afternoon showing a relatively cool, but pleasant end to the work week (Courtesy of GREarth)

Latest visible satellite imagery, regional radar composite, and surface temperatures this afternoon showing a relatively cool, but pleasant end to the work week (Courtesy of GREarth)

Saturday and Easter Sunday 

As we move into the morning on Saturday, the area of high pressure currently situated over our area will begin to feel the effects of an incoming area of low pressure and will begin to slowly move off the Mid-Atlantic coast. As this high moves off the coast, winds will begin to change from light and variable to light southwesterly/southerly winds during the early afternoon hours. These southerly winds will introduce more moisture into the lower levels of the atmosphere that will likely be accompanied by some cloudier weather tomorrow afternoon, especially as a mid-level warm front begins to push through the area.

As this warm front moves through during the late afternoon, there is a very slight chance at some showers across the area, but at this time any widespread activity centred over this NYC metro area seems unlikely. Regardless of clouds, the deep southerly flow will allow for temperatures to reach into the low to middle 60’s across the entire area, except for south-facing shorelines, which may experience more marine influence which would work to keep temperatures in the 50’s tomorrow.  Any areas of showers that may be moving through the area should be gone by tomorrow evening as the best forcing associated with the warm front lifts to the north and east.

Again, the best chance for any rain of substance should be limited to central and northern sections or New York state as well as a more isolated chance of showers over Pennsylvania. Deeper southerly flow tomorrow night should keep temperatures relatively mild, with lows staying in the 50’s for the entire region as the high pressure system continues to pump more warm air into the mid levels of the atmosphere, which should help insulate our temperatures.

Sunday should be a much more “pleasant” day, as broken clouds in the morning hours give way to mostly sunny skies by early afternoon. With full sunshine, southerly winds, and warm low-mid levels of the atmosphere all present on Sunday, Easter is shaping up to be another much-above normal day with regards to high temperatures. As we progress throughout the afternoon, temperatures should easily climb into the upper 70’s across the entire area, with areas of low to mid 80’s possible over sections of southeast PA, NJ, southern NY, and Connecticut. Once again, these southerly winds may introduce a sea breeze feature for south-facing shores, so high may be limited to the 70’s for those locations. Regardless, temperatures should be anywhere from 20-32 degrees above normal during the day Sunday, so it will actually feel more like Summer than Spring! 

The very warm temperatures and light winds may make for some very unfavorable conditions for those who suffer from allergies, so make sure to take your necessary precautions in order to enjoy the beautiful weather this weekend!

This afternoons 3km NAM showing temperatures in the upper 70's to mid 80's across the entire area for Easter Sunday

This afternoons 3km NAM showing temperatures in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s across the entire area for Easter Sunday

A cold front associated with an area of low pressure centered over southern portions of Canada and far northern New England will begin to work its way through the area late Sunday evening, bringing another chance of some isolated or scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms could still contain heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the north and west, but today’s model guidance has been suggesting this activity should be centered away from our region and will likely wait until after dark to pass through the NYC metro area-if at all.

Monday and Beyond

As we head back into the work week, Monday should be rather calm and dry behind the cold front, with winds out of the northwest from Canada. As we get later into the Spring, these cold fronts begin to lose their potential to really drag in colder air masses from Canada, and it looks like this will be the case with this next front as temperatures should be able to rise into the upper 60’s to low 70’s on Monday across the entire area, which should once again be above normal for this time of year.

On Tuesday, some cooler air may sink down from Canada ahead of a system passing through the Great Lakes, and this should be the beginning of a more unsettled period of weather for our area again as more storm systems should begin to take shape out over the Central US later in the week. This upcoming pattern may be quite similar to the pattern we saw during late March  and earlier this month with backdoor cold fronts as well as numerous chances for precipitation.  Temperatures will once again be highly dependant on how these frontal systems shape up, so make sure to check back next week for further updates on this potentially more active period!

12z GFS model showing a potentially stormier pattern setting up for later in the week next week (image credit Tomer Burg)

12z GFS model showing a potentially stormier pattern setting up for later in the week next week (Image credit Tomer Burg)

With the Holiday Weekend just around the corner and the threat for some showers and thunderstorms on Easter, make sure to check back for further updates!

For more information and posts like this one, make sure you sign up for Zone Forecasts — where multiple detailed articles, videos, and interactives are posted each day. Also, come interact with our staff and many other weather enthusiasts at 33andrain.com!

Have a weekend!

Steve Copertino

Steven Copertino

Public Analysis: Brief Cooldown, Followed By More Warm and Unstable Weather

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Good Afternoon!

After temperatures in the mid to upper 80’s yesterday across much of the region, a weak cold front and some weak showers will bring temperatures back down to more seasonable levels starting this evening and lasting through Saturday. However, by Easter Sunday we may see a return to much above-normal temperatures with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

This Afternoon and Evening 

The weak upper level system that we talked about back on Monday has moved through the NYC metro area this afternoon and has brought some light to moderate showers, with even a few very isolated rumbles of thunder. As of 2pm, this activity was heading east at a pretty decent speed while it also outruns the best upper-level support to sustain these showers. This area currently situated over Long Island and Connecticut should continue to progressively move east this afternoon and eventually move offshore while continuing to weaken in the process.

Rapid clearing is taking place behind this area of showers, as dry air begins to settle in from the north and west. As skies continue to clear this afternoon, temperatures should be able to rise into the upper 60’s and lower 70’s across the area, with coastal locations staying on the cooler side once again. Even with temperatures currently in the mid 60’s  and lower 70’s across the area, this is still a good 10-20 degrees below what temperatures were just 24 hours ago.

As was mentioned back on Monday, the actual cooler air with this front is lagging behind the shower activity by quite a bit, but as high pressure begins to drop down from Canada late this evening, temperatures should be able to fall into the 40’s across the entire area, with an outside chance of upper 30’s across the interior sections of NY.

Current surface temperatures, regional radar mosaic, and visible satellite imagery showing rather rapid clearing taking place behind the weak upper-level disturbance (Courtesy of GREarth)

Current surface temperatures, regional radar mosaic, and visible satellite imagery showing rather rapid clearing taking place behind the weak upper-level disturbance (Courtesy of GREarth)

Thursday and Friday 

High pressure will be in control in time for the morning commute tomorrow, with relatively cool temperatures likely by 8am, ranging from the mid to upper 40’s across the area. Some overcast and broken clouds are possible tomorrow morning and into early afternoon, before a brief break giving way to mostly clear conditions. This should allow temperatures to easily rise into the upper 50’s and low to mid 60’s across the area by late tomorrow afternoon.

Another weak cold front will be set to move through tomorrow afternoon and evening, bringing some more broken clouds and winds of about 10-15 mph sustained out of the northwest. The lack of moisture and lift associated with this front will forbid the development of showers, so only increased cloudiness is expected into tomorrow evening.

The lack of clouds and light to moderate winds underneath the area of high pressure will allow temperatures to fall into the low to middle 40’s tomorrow evening, with inland sections of northern New Jersey and New York possibly slipping back down into the 30’s for lows.

Friday should be a relatively tranquil day as the area of high pressure continues to remain in control over our area. Mostly sunny conditions are expected with a few clouds possible over the south and west portions of the area. Calm winds and clear skies should give way to seasonable temperatures Friday afternoon, with highs ranging from the upper 50’s to mid 60’s across the entire area. As we head into the evening, the same calm conditions will allow for temperatures to slip into the 40’s for lows once again, with 30’s possible in the interior sections.

12z European model showing the area of high pressure centered over the Northeast on Friday afternoon. (Courtesy of Accuweather Pro)

12z European model showing the area of high pressure centered over the Northeast on Friday afternoon. (Courtesy of Accuweather Pro)

Saturday and Beyond 

The area of high pressure that will have been in control for Thursday and Friday will finally move offshore to the Mid Atlantic coast on Saturday, and this will begin to bring quite a few changes for this holiday weekend. As the area of high pressure begins to shift off to our east, winds will change from the north and west, to more southerly/southwesterly during the morning and afternoon hours. This change to more southerly winds will allow warmer air to work its way in during the day, with a warm front progged to move through by 2pm or so.

This warm front will bring an increase in clouds, with a chance at some showers and even some weak thunderstorms during the late afternoon hours. Instability will be quite weak and there really shouldn’t be change from that thinking so at this time it does not seem like these showers and possible thunderstorms will capable of anything outside of some heavy downpours and very isolated gusty winds. Otherwise, temperatures should be able to reach the mid to upper 60’s across the area on Saturday, with coastal locations possibly seeing more prolonged cloudiness which may lead to highs only in the upper 50’s to low 60’s.

As we move into Easter Sunday, much above-normal temperatures seem quite likely as the aforementioned high pressure system located off the east coast continues to funnel warm and moist air from the south and into our area. Some dry/sinking air behind the warm front that passed through on Saturday may allow for a break in the clouds in the early afternoon on Sunday, and this should usher in a mix of sun and clouds to start off the day.

Strong southwesterly winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere will continue to bring in very warm temperatures across the area during the heart of the day, which could allow for temperatures to reach into the low to mid 80’s for locations that see more sunshine and are further away from the coast. Regardless, temperatures will be very warm on East Sunday with the entire area likely experiencing highs in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s, with the exception of coastal locations who may have to deal with a seabreeze later on in the afternoon which could knock temperatures down quite a bit.

As a cold front begins to work its way in towards area of Upstate New York later in the afternoon and evening some more showers and thunderstorms will be possible, but at this time the main focus of this activity  should be off to our north and west as the best forcing for storms looks to be displaced from our area.

12z European model showing temperature anomalies ranging from 20-30 degrees above normal on Sunday afternoon with temperatures possibly reaching into the 80's once again (Courtesy of Accuweather Pro)

12z European model showing temperature anomalies ranging from 20-30 degrees above normal on Sunday afternoon with temperatures possibly reaching into the 80’s once again (Courtesy of Accuweather Pro)

With the Holiday Weekend coming closer and the threat for some shower and thunderstorms on Easter, make sure to check back for further updates!

For more information and posts like this one, make sure you sign up for Zone Forecasts — where multiple detailed articles, videos, and interactives are posted each day. Also, come interact with our staff and many other weather enthusiasts at 33andrain.com!

Have a great day!

Steve Copertino