FREE Public Analysis: Large Storm to Bring Heavy Rainfall Thursday

Good afternoon! This afternoon will continue to be feature more pleasant weather. Sunshine will be mixed with clouds over parts of the region and winds will remain light out northwest. High temperatures should reach the upper 50s to lower 60s.

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4/05 Late AM All Zones Update: Heavy Rainfall, Flooding, T-Storm Potential Thursday

Happy Wednesday! Today will feature more pleasant weather with more sunshine and seasonable temperatures this afternoon. But another, larger storm system we’ve been talking about this week, will be bring more heavy rainfall tomorrow.

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4/04 All Zones AM Update: Strong T-Storms Possible This Afternoon, Larger Storm Likely Thursday

Happy Tuesday! Heavy rains from overnight have moved out most of the region quickly this morning, as best forcing with a strong low-level has shifted northeast into New England. Thus flood watches for New Jersey and Lower Hudson Valley have been cancelled, with more significant flooding no longer anticipated for today. It will remain mostly cloudy with some showers, drizzle or patchy fog the rest of morning, as a the warm front remains to the south.

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PM Zones Update: Heavy Rain and Embedded Thunderstorms on Tuesday

We hope you all enjoyed this lovely Monday! This nice weather will be very short-lived as a strong storm system is approaching and clouds will rapidly increase this evening, if they had not done so already. Heavy rain with this storm is likely after midnight tonight and into Tuesday morning, with perhaps a lull in the action followed by scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon.

This is the same storm that has brought tornadoes to the Southeast US and it has an extremely impressive moisture feed from the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean. The core of the storm will be moving into the Central US and into the Great Lakes, but our placement well out ahead of the storm considering its expansive moisture feed actually places us in the area for heaviest rainfall. This is because the east side of these systems have the strongest wind fields; and in this case the strongest low-level jet for further moisture transport. Additionally, lift will be fueled by a warm front that will be pushing into our region ahead of the storm as well.

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