Miguel Pierre

3/17 All Zones Early Afternoon Update on Potential Snowfall This Weekend

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Today will be a beautiful day, with lots of sunshine for much of the day. The large closed upper-level low influence our weather for last few days, will finally be lifting further north over the Canadian Maritimes. This will lead to rising mid-level heights the over region , allowing for temperatures to warm up into upper 30s to lower 40s for highs this afternoon. While these temperatures may feel a little more comfortable, compared the last few days, they are still well below normal for this time of year.

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Miguel Pierre

3/16 All Zones Evening Update on Possible Snow this Weekend

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This is just a quick evening update on snow potential for this weekend. For Friday night and Saturday morning, not much has changed on model guidance today. After some sunshine most of day with highs in upper 30s to near 40, clouds will being increasing late tomorrow afternoon and evening. As an warm or occluded front approaches, Some light wintry mix of snow, sleet or rain may develop over parts of the region, later tomorrow night into Saturday morning. This is not expected amount too much for I-95 corridor or the coastal areas.

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Miguel Pierre

3/16 All Zones Noon Update/Snow Map: More Snow Possible This Weekend

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Winter refuses to give up it’s hold on the Northeast United States. Cold and dry weather will continue over the next few days, as the area continues to sit underneath the influence of a large upper-level low centered near New Brunswick, Canada. Another storm system will likely impact the region from early Saturday onward. Precipitation from Saturday evening into Saturday will increase in coverage and intensity, with the possibility of snowfall accumulations throughout the area by Sunday morning.

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John Homenuk

Where did New York City’s blizzard go?

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Let’s cut straight to the point here: Our forecast snowfall amounts in and around New York City were too high. Our snowfall forecast, which by the night before the storm had settled into the 15-18″ range for the metro area, ended up too high by 8-10″, which as you may assume is a much larger spread than we are comfortable with. While the forecast did verify very nicely in many other areas, the I-95 corridor was an area where verification was specifically poor.

Before starting an organized mob with pitchforks and torches to storm your local meteorological office, we’re going to attempt to provide some perspective today. The reality of it is, these kinds of blown forecasts are difficult for us all. The general public — and our clients — planned ahead based on our forecast amounts, and frustration was very high when they didn’t work out. Accordingly, our team worked tirelessly to get the forecast right, spending countless hours pouring over data and pinpointing intricate processes, and getting it wrong was a frustrating and humbling experience.

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