John Homenuk

2.23 PM All Zones: Very warm weather has arrived

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A well discussed period of above normal temperatures has arrived throughout the Eastern United States today, and is gradually making its way northwards from the Mid Atlantic States into the Northeast States as well. A warm front, situated over the Delaware River Valley this morning, has shifted northwards passing through much of New Jersey. The front will gradually continue its trek northwards as the afternoon goes on today and will continue into New England.

This morning, low clouds and fog were widespread throughout the Mid Atlantic and New England as a cool flow on the north side of a warm front allowed for moisture to remain trapped in the atmosphere’s lower levels. The fog eventually lifted this afternoon and a change in wind direction will continue to aid in warmer air surging northwards. The fog may return tonight for some locations, particularly near the coast, as warm air continues to advect towards the area.

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Miguel Pierre

2/23 AM All Zones: Morning Clouds & Fog, Then More Warmth This Afternoon

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Some low clouds and patchy, dense fog this morning should gradually clear out for more sunshine this afternoon. An unseasonably warm airmass will still be over the region, Southwest winds will help temperatures rise well into mid-upper 60s over much of New Jersey, Lower Hudson Valley and immediate NYC metro area by mid-late afternoon. Temperatures might be cooler in the mid-upper 50s to lower 60s in more coastal areas like Long Island and Connecticut coast, with winds more ocean keeping more low clouds and fog linger into the afternoon hours.

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John Homenuk

2.22 PM Zone Update: Record-breaking warmth on the way

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As a trough digs into the West Coast of the United States over the next 24 to 48 hours, a ridge is forecast to develop throughout the Central and Eastern United States. Southerly winds in the mid and low levels of the atmosphere will aid in the ridge moving northward and expanding, with anomalously warm air surging northwards from the Southern and Central US into the Eastern United States by the latter half of this upcoming week.

While the ridge is impressive in the mid levels of the atmosphere, the surface temperature response will be even more impressive. Temperatures on Thursday and Friday afternoon, throughout the Northeast (and especially in the interior) will average 20-30 degrees above normal averages for this time of year. In many areas, this will mean afternoon high temperatures in the 60’s and possibly even lower 70’s!

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Steven Copertino

Public Analysis: Unusual Febuary Warmth, Unsettled Saturday

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Another very warm end to the work week is on tap with temperatures leveling off on Saturday as a cold front moves through the region and provides a chance for some much needed precipitation for the area.

After some overcast and lingering sprinkles this morning that moved over the Lower Hudson Valley and Long Island, the associated  overcast and showers have eased up enough to allow for temperatures to reach into the 50’s across much of the area this afternoon. With just middle to high level cloud cover persisting the rest of the afternoon, the Metro area should continue to see temperatures rise into the 50’s, with even some 60 degree readings possible in the southern half of New Jersey. As a very weak mid level disturbance dissipates while it quickly moves off to the east this evening, high pressure centered over the Atlantic will remain in control of our weather as we head into the evening and will help to provide a very light southerly flow. This southerly flow may introduce some moisture at the lower levels of the atmosphere very close to the surface that could produce areas of fog. The fog may reduce visibilities quite a bit in some locations, so use caution if driving. Otherwise, temperatures this evening will drop down into the 30’s for inland sections, and into the low to mid 40’s for the coastal areas which is just about average for this time of year.

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