Entries by John Homenuk

Another messy winter storm expected from Monday into Tuesday

One common thread running through all of our winter storm threats so far this season has been mixed precipitation types. An upcoming storm, expected to impact the area from Monday into Tuesday, is likely to be no different. Precipitation may begin as snow, but will then change to a mix of sleet and freezing rain […]

Seasons first snowfall expected in NYC, worst stays in the interior

A significant winter storm will impact the Northeast and parts of the Mid Atlantic from Sunday through Tuesday morning, with multiple rounds of snow expected. The heaviest snow is expected to fall in interior portions of the Northeast and throughout New England. The storm systems evolution remains extremely complex and will present forecasting challenges right […]

Reflecting on a mid-November forecasting nightmare

as around 3:00pm that things got serious. After days of forecasting light to moderate snowfall accumulations, followed by a transition to rain, a winter storm was over-performing at the worst possible time. It was November 15th, 2018, and the hours that followed would by marked by some of the worst road conditions the NYC Metro has seen in a decade.

NYC Winter Forecast 2019-2020

We say it every year, but it’s worth repeating: Seasonal weather forecasting is one of the most challenging aspects of meteorology. It isn’t simply a guesstimate or an educated gamble. It is, instead, the product of months of research which typically begins at least two seasons prior. We’ve been piecing together ideas for this upcoming winter […]