Yet again, the weather is completely divergent from the calendar, as we are tracking a severe weather event in the Northeast on Wednesday. This is following a moderate risk of severe weather in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. It all starts with a warm front moving through the region tonight and early Wednesday morning, which […]
After some record warmth over the past few days, we are about to get our usual strong cold front “snap” back towards seasonable temperatures. But considering how warm and moist the atmosphere is initially, this means there will be quite an impressive temperature gradient, which is often a great fuel for storm development. Although the […]
3:30pm Update: So far, everything is on track with respect to downplaying the event relative to SPCs and other outlooks’ expectations. As expected, there is still a lingering strong capping inversion in the warm sector, so there is not enough lift to generate strong thunderstorms to take advantage of the instability. Additionally, the low-level jet (LLJ) […]
Winter is finally about to make a return to the Northeast, and given that we are nearing the peak climatology period for snow, this often comes with snow threats. Often times, though, in an initial pattern change, the pattern becomes cold and dry for a period. And while it’s certainly a possibility that we will […]