When a forecaster makes a seasonal outlook or forecast, he/she must consider all possible climate drivers and variables with teleconnections. Previous articles such as Monitoring the Stratosphere and The Importance of High Latitude Blocking in Upcoming Winter discussed the variables that were considered for our winter forecast, and how much weight was put into each. Now it’s time […]
The days before Thanksgiving are some of the busiest travel days of the year, meaning that the weather has an even larger impact than usual. Accordingly, we have already been keeping an eye on model guidance for this period. While it’s still too far out to forecast with confidence, our November outlook did show some cooling to […]
After a chilly Sunday morning with temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 40s, warmer temperatures returned this afternoon. High pressure building to our south and higher 500mb heights led to a more west-southwest flow to develop today, which allowed 850mb temperatures to rise between 6°C to 8°C later this afternoon. This led to temperatures reaching the upper 50s to […]
A progressive (fast-moving) weather pattern will continue for the next several days. Skies are currently mostly cloudy, and that is expected to continue tonight with temperatures dropping into the upper 40s or lower 50s. A deepening closed low tracking across the Great Lakes will push a cold front through the region tomorrow. This will lead to […]