Hurricane Ian made landfall yesterday as a powerful Category 4 hurricane in Florida. The storm delivered catastrophic impacts to parts of the state yesterday including a dangerous storm surge, destructive winds and flooding rains. The threat for dangerous conditions will likely persist well today as the storm crosses the state, despite weakening.
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At long last, the oppressive heat and humidity has left the party. Temperatures and dew points will trend into a much more comfortable range from tomorrow into the weekend.
In fact, most model guidance suggests that both Friday and Saturday could be top-tier weather days in the NYC Metro Area, with temperatures in the lower to middle 80’s and dew points in the 50’s. That’s about as good as it gets for summertime around here.
The pleasant weather is very likely to continue into Sunday, with the weekend overall turning out to be one of the nicest in quite some time. By midday Sunday, we’ll start to see an increase in high and mid level clouds. That’ll be a harbinger of unsettled weather to come during the early and middle part of next week.
Guidance suggests that a trough will form over the Eastern United States early next week, drawing moisture back into the area and encouraging the development of a low pressure system off the coast. Exactly where this storm tracks remains a bit of an uncertainty right now.
Some guidance keeps the storm very close to the coast with multiple days of showers and rainy weather. Other models keep the storm more progressive, allowing to to escape out to sea faster and bringing just a brief period of showers before conditions clear out.
The current expectation is that we’ll have at least somewhat unsettled conditions from Monday into Wednesday. If the storm tracks close to the coast, periods of heavier rain will be possible (which honestly wouldn’t be a terrible thing given the localized drought conditions). If it moves out to sea faster, we’ll likely still see unsettled conditions on Monday – but a faster improvement on Tuesday and Wednesday.
As always, we’ll have updates and the latest information on what to expect as we get closer. Stay tuned to our socials and make sure to pop any questions you may have regarding the forecast right here in our comments section!
The weather on Independence Day weekend is always a point of contention. It is humidity and thunderstorm season after all – and on a weekend when almost everybody will be spending lots of time outside, the weather forecast can be very tricky. This year is no different, with transitional weather conditions anticipated.
Warm and humid weather on Friday will give way to pleasant, sunny and less humid weather on Sunday and Monday. The 24-hour period from Friday evening through Saturday evening appears the most precarious, with showers and storms are likely. Some of them may be severe on Saturday afternoon. Here’s the deal:
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Good morning, NYC! The humidity has returned today, and it signals increasing moisture and instability in the atmosphere. This will eventually lead to the potential for showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon. Some of the storms are expected to be severe, with the potential for strong wind gusts and a few isolated tornadoes. Scattered storms are also anticipated on Saturday before conditions dramatically improve on Sunday and Monday.
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