Miguel Pierre

All Zones Late AM Update: Cooler for Late Week, Warmer with Possible T-Storms Easter Sunday

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Happy Wednesday! More clouds and scattered showers are likely over the region, as a cold front and shortwave trough move through. Some weak instability could lead to some isolated thunderstorms and heavy downpours. There is a low chance that the Yankees vs Rays game in the Bronx could be delayed today. But most of this activity, may remain just north and west of NYC, where forcing is likely to be stronger.

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Doug Simonian

Evening Zones Update: Showers Wednesday, Cooler End of Week, T-Storms Easter Sunday?

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Good evening, everyone! Another lovely day was had today thanks to even more southwest flow than on Monday. High temperatures reached the mid 80s across much of the state of New Jersey! Areas further east were generally a bit cooler due to micro-scale breezes and large-scale synoptic southerly and southwesterly winds having more of a cooler, marine component for areas further east. EWR and TEB actually saw a bay-breeze as winds shifted SE off the Bay and cooled temperatures off in parts of Urban E NJ. Regardless, though, Newark still managed to reach a high of 82 degrees and NYC had a high of 80 degrees. JFK, however only had a high of 66 degrees and most of Long Island was generally in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. 

Dewpoints have already risen into the upper 40s to low to mid 50s in some spots thanks to the southwest flow. When combined with an increase in high clouds out ahead of some storms in Central PA associated with a pre-frontal trough ahead of a cold front, should lead to low temperatures holding in the 50s to even around 60 or higher in the warmer urban locations.

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Miguel Pierre

AM All Zones Update: 80s Inland Today! Cooling Down Rest of the Week… Some T-Storms Easter Sunday?

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Good morning and Happy Tuesday! A taste of early summer weather in store for region today, as strong ridge continues to dominate over the region. Mostly sunny skies are expected today. A deeper southwest flow with 850mb temperatures 14°C to 15°C will support highs lower to middle 80s, much of NJ, NYC and the Lower Hudson Valley. Some records highs may be jeopardy across the region, including Newark at 87 and Central Park at 84, both from 1955. Meanwhile southwest winds and sea-breezes off the colder ocean and sound, will once again keep areas closer to coastline cooler in 60s to lower 70s for highs today.

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Doug Simonian

PM All Zones Update: Even Warmer Tuesday; Showers Wednesday

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Good evening, everyone! We hope you enjoyed this beautiful Monday! Plenty of warmth was had in areas from NYC and west, with Newark tying a record high of 82 set in 1955. JFK, Long Island, and the Jersey Shore were much cooler due to the sea-breeze, but it was still a lovely day with plenty of sunshine and highs in the 60s. The rest of this evening looks quite pleasant and also milder than yesterday evening, as some moisture advection will prevent truly ideal radiational cooling conditions. Thus, low temperatures will generally hold around 50 or in the 50s for most of the region, with temperatures near 60 in urban areas. This will give us a nice head start for Tuesday’s warmth.

As we mentioned in yesterday’s PM article, the warmth is due to increased southwest flow in the atmosphere as the upper-level low from last week finally truly departs. This southwest flow will actually accelerate further on Tuesday, as a disturbance will be moving into SE Canada, which will increase the height gradient and thus accelerate the SW winds aloft, which will advect even warmer temperatures.

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