Thursday Overview: Pleasant Weather Returns, Colder by Saturday AM

After a dismal day on Wednesday, high pressure over the region will provide more pleasant Autumn weather today with plenty of sunshine. Temperatures will be cool but seasonable for this time of year. Highs will be in the mid-upper 50s with only some light breezes out of the northwest by this afternoon. High pressure will continue to keep skies will be mostly clear during evening and overnight hours tonight. It will be chilly, with low temperatures likely in the 40s in NYC and coastal areas and some 30s over the inland areas.

On Friday, a strong cold front will be moving through, during the late morning and early afternoon hours. Some more clouds may be around with sunshine tomorrow. But mainly dry conditions are anticipated with a lack of lift and moisture with the front. High temperatures before the front passes, will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s. It will also become breezy with gusty northwest winds. Then a much colder airmass will arrive on Friday night. Temperatures will drop into the middle 20s to lower 30s over many of the suburbs. Lows in will likely be in the lower or middle 30s over NYC and urban areas with the first patchy frost or freeze of the season possible for these areas. Some other highlights coming up over next days:

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Wednesday Overview: Showers Today…Drier Weather Thursday

It will continue to be dreary into the afternoon hours, as a cold front and upper-level trough moves through the area. It will remain mostly cloudy with some showers off and on likely. Some of these showers may produce rain that falls moderately at times. But heavy rain is not anticipated, as much of the energy and moisture associated with the upper-level trough will be passing to the south of the region this afternoon.

Drier northwest winds, behind the cold front, will cause skies to begin clearing tonight. A cooler and drier airmass will be arriving with overnight low temperatures will be the 30s in many of inland suburbs to lower 40s over NYC, urban and coastal areas. High pressure will be in control tomorrow with plenty of sunshine and high temperatures in the middle to upper 50s. Which is seasonable for this time of year. Here are some other highlights going into this weekend:

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Monday Musings: Progressive Pattern For This Week

Despite another cooler airmass over the region today, the pattern overall will be progressive this week, with a number of upper-level disturbances and frontal boundaries moving through Northeast. For today, high pressure will be in control with plenty of sunshine. After some cold temperatures early this morning, temperatures will rise into the middle 50s over much the region this afternoon. Winds will be out north and lighter than over the past few days. So it will feel a little more pleasant today.

Mostly clear skies and calmer winds tonight will allow for temperatures late tonight and early tomorrow fall again into the 20s and lower 30s over interior locations, as well as over the Pine Barrens. Mid-upper 30s to lower 40s closer to NYC and urban areas. More sunshine is store for Tuesday with high pressure in control. But it will milder tomorrow afternoon, with more mid-level ridging and west-southwest winds,  helping temperatures warm into the lower to middle 60s. Some other highlights for this week:

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Premium: Warming trend in the East will be short lived

Weather news this week has been centered around the presence of a large ridge, building into the Central United States. This ridge will reach eastward to the Ohio Valley, with tremendously warm temperatures surging from the desert southwest into the heart of the country. In the East, however — especially the Northeast — this warm air will be short lived. An active pattern throughout the Northern jet stream will keep the upper air pattern very active, and the amplification of the pattern will allow colder air to surge into Southeast Canada and the Northeast.

Much of this will be centered around a cold front, which will move through the Northeast US on Thursday afternoon and evening. Temperatures will warm up throughout the East on Wednesday and Thursday. Thereafter, on Thursday afternoon and evening, an  impressively strong system in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere will drop southward into Southeast Canada and eventually the Northeast, interacting with moisture and providing sufficient lift for heavy rain.

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