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Clouds, showers to begin the new week

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Plenty of sun, and warm temperatures, dominated the areas weather late last week into this past weekend. But late Sunday, mid and high clouds took over owing to an approaching disturbance to the west. This disturbance is over the area today — nestled between a tight mid level atmospheric flow and bringing clouds and showers with it. The unsettled weather will also bring cooler temperatures — topping out in the upper 50’s to lower 60’s. The air will feel cooler and damp, however, with winds off the cooler ocean waters.

The showery and cloudy conditions are expected to persist through the early week, but will become less numerous on Tuesday and taper off completely by Wednesday. By mid week, the sun should make a return. Winds will remain out of the east, so the air will still have a bit of a chill to it, but the sun and temperatures in the 60’s will be pleasant compared to the damp and dreary conditions that the week began with.

Today: Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 50’s to lower 60’s. Southeast winds around 15 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

Tonight: Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 40’s to lower 50’s. Southeast winds around 15 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50’s to lower 60’s. Southeast winds around 15 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60’s. Southeast winds around 10 miles per hour.

John Homenuk

Cooler/Unsettled weather behind big nor’easter

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Behind the strong storm system which impacted our area this weekend, the weather will take a turn towards a cooler and slightly more unsettled

GFS Model (4/23/12) showing potential rain and unsettled weather near a warm front next weekend.

pattern. Prior to the system, above normal temperatures and fair weather were dominant, but as it looks now this storm will serve as a bit of a pattern-changer. It doesn’t look like we’ll return to much-above normal departures any time soon. Instead, forecast models are indicative of a bit of a battleground setting up near our area, as a gradient develops in the mid levels of the atmosphere. Such an event would likely mean more chances for precipitation, and temperatures running near normal for this time of year (with, of course, some fluctuations).

This week, showers will be around to start as an upper air trough lingers behind the strong storm system. It looks like high temperatures will warm up a bit as we approach Thursday, where they may spike into the mid/upper 60’s. But shortly thereafter, showers and a cold front will work back into the forecast, and bring cooler weather again for the weekend ahead. Pictured right: GFS model showing a “gradient” near our area later this week and this weekend. On the left, we see the mid-level heights in the atmosphere, and on the right, we can see the 6 hour precipitation and 850mb temperatures. Notice the temperature gradient near our area and precipitation near a warm front.

Article written by JH. Published April 23rd, 2012 at 1:30pm. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.