Brutally cold weather set to grip the region

A wild swing in temperatures observed over the last 24-36 hours will end later on Monday as an arctic front approaches the region, and brings brutally cold air with it — for good. The past 24 hours or so have featured a dramatic roller-coaster of sorts in regards to temperature in the New York City region, beginning with overnight lows in the single digits to teens on Sunday. After a period of freezing rain, temperatures rose into the 40’s and 50’s overnight. Ahead of a cold front, warm and moist air streamed northward on Monday bringing temperatures into the upper 50’s with dense fog. Almost as if scripted, a thin line of thunderstorms surged eastward bringing heavy rain and gusty winds (51mph gust at Newark Airport) followed by a change in wind direction. Many NJ observers reported sleet on Monday afternoon as arctic air began seeping in behind the front. The 40-50 degree temperature swing in both directions will continue through Tuesday.

The National Weather Service has issued Wind Chill Advisories and Wind Advisories throughout a vast majority of the area beginning at 1am on Tuesday and continuing through the afternoon hours on Tuesday, as arctic air is expected to take over the airmass to a dramatic extent. Very low heights and extremely cold air aloft will bring high temperatures down into the single digits and teens on Tuesday, and when combined with strong and gusty westerly winds, will lead to wind chill values from 5 to 20 degrees below zero even during the afternoon hours. That type of cold air can prove dangerous, especially when prolonged exposure is involved. To prepare for the cold: wear layers, plan to be indoors as much as possible, and remember to pay close attention to your pets when they are outside.

 

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Mid January thaw a transient interruption in the pattern

The pattern over recent weeks has proven to be an interesting one across the majority of the United States, as the record cold temperatures and plentiful snow has visited folks from the Mid-west, Great Lakes, and the Northeast. Our significant snowstorm last week was due in large part to the negative EPO / positive PNA regime in concert with a well-timed Greenland block, allowing short wave amplification to occur on the mid atlantic coast. Since that time, the Greenland block has dissipated, and the western ridge will collapse in a few days, not before a near record / record cold airmass arrives Monday night.

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