Tuesday Overview: Unsettled today, severe storms nearby Thursday

After some morning showers and thunderstorms (a severe thunderstorm warning was actually issued for parts of Long Island and the NJ Shore, with no reports received yet), clearing is anticipated over the next few hours. In fact, the sun is likely to return by mid morning for much of the area. Temperatures will warm into the 80’s once again. A cold front stalled near the area from west to east will spell problems for parts of Southern and Central New Jersey later today.

With atmospheric instability building once again, scattered strong and severe thunderstorms may redevelop across those areas later today. These storms are likely to develop near and south of the frontal boundary — well to the southwest of New York City. After a brief respite on Wednesday, another powerful disturbance approaches the area as it swings through the Northeast US. The exact track of the storm system will determine the details, but severe weather is possible from the system — most likely across the Mid Atlantic and parts of South/Western New Jersey once again. Here’s the lowdown on the weather stories today:

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Monday Musings: Changeable Weather This Week

Summer officially starts at 6:34pm today! The weather will cooperate, and it will certainly feel likely summer over the next few days throughout the area.

Our stretch of pleasant, sunny and very warm weather will continue to start the week. Temperatures over the NYC metro will likely reach the lower to middle 80s by early this afternoon underneath plentiful sunshine. Sea-breezes again this afternoon will cause a wide range of temperatures when comparing the area shores to inland locations.High temperatures are expected to range from the middle to upper 70s over Long Island and New Jersey shore, to the upper 80s to near 90 over inland areas of New Jersey.

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Premium: Cooler than average trend to persist through June

While many long range forecasts have been banging the “heat drum” for several weeks now, that heat has yet to materialize in any fashion throughout the Northeast United States during the first few weeks of meteorological summer. The next few weeks, additionally, are unlikely to offer any chances for prolonged heat or above average temperature departures.

In fact, there are growing signals, from both the hemispheric pattern evolution and climate phenomena, that below normal temperatures and unsettled conditions may return to the area to close out the month of June.

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Weekend Overview: Pleasant, warmer conditions

With a cutoff low forming off the Southeast US Coast, and a disturbance looming in Southeast Canada, one might assume that unsettled weather would dominate this weekend’s forecast.

They would be wrong.

High pressure nudged in between those two aforementioned disturbances will keep our area in the midst of very pleasant conditions for the majority of the weekend. In fact, temperatures are expected to warm up into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s by Sunday, with plenty of sunshine anticipated throughout the area.

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