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NWS confirms microburst in Union County on Tuesday

The National Weather Service in Upton, NY has confirmed that straight-line wind damage, originating from a microburst, was the cause of significant but localized damage in Union County, NJ on Tuesday Night. A severe thunderstorm moving through the Watchung Mountains and into Union and Essex counties showed signs of rotation and strong winds on terminal doppler radar, but no evidence of a tornado has been found as of yet.

The line of showers and thunderstorms formed over parts of New Jersey on Tuesday evening in association with a frontal boundary, which was approaching the area from the west. A localized area of favorable instability and wind shear allowed the storms to briefly strengthen, despite the overall weakening trend which was being observed as storms were approaching the more stable air near the coastal plain.

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Premium: More heat, storm chances on the horizon

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Tuesday Overview: More showers & t-storms later this afternoon

Unsettled weather continues this afternoon, with a cold front and upper-level trough slowly approaching the region. Skies clearing to the west will cause instability to increase enough for showers and thunderstorms to develop over Central and Eastern Pennsylvania later this afternoon by early this evening. These thunderstorms will gradually move into western parts of New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley by early this evening. Strong or severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall and isolated damaging wind gusts. For this reason SPC has placed Northwest NJ and Orange County NY in slight risk for severe weather. 

A marginal risk remains for Northeast New Jersey New York City and rest of Lower Hudson Valley. More cloud cover and onshore flow will keep the rest of region in a more stable airmass, most likely causing stronger thunderstorms to weaken, as they approach the coast this evening. Some heavy downpours and lightning are still possible with showers and thunderstorms this evening.  Where clouds break for any sunshine later this afternoon, temperatures will slowly rise into the upper 70s or lower 80s. Other areas, especially closer to the Coast, may remain cooler. Showers and thunderstorms may linger around until late tonight with the cold front and shortwave trough still moving slowly through the region. This storm system could have an impact on the Yankees Game tonight. Read more

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Atmospheric pattern may support periods of heat by mid July

Warmer temperatures have returned this week, with highs reaching back into the middle and upper 80s. But the pattern still has yet to change to support any type of heat waves — and it doesn’t look like it will over the next week or so. Another cooling trend during the latter half of next week will bring an end to the month of June. For those who are looking ahead to the warm, hot days of summer, or trying get a heads up on any excessive heat for crops — this may escalate the amount of questions in regards to how this summer will turn out. Are there any changes expected to the atmospheric pattern over the next few weeks?

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