Warmer Temperatures Return Sunday and Early Next Week

Winter weather is with us through tonight, as temperatures remain quite cool. The good news? Some early spring-like weather is just around the corner, as temperatures will moderate and warm quite a bit on Sunday.

Mid-level height rises and deep southwest flow on Sunday, will help temperatures rise into at least middle to upper 50s with plenty of sunshine. It’s not out the question that some locations, particularly over Central New Jersey, will reach 60 degrees tomorrow afternoon. The southwest winds off the ocean or sound could keep temperatures cooler for parts of Long Island and Connecticut.

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Heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, gusty winds possible tonight

A large deep low, which has been producing some severe weather and tornadoes over parts of Deep South over past few days, will be heading northward into Eastern Ohio Valley today. This storm will send a cold front northward through the Mid-Atlantic region this afternoon and evening.

Ahead of this front, positive vorticity advection, strong jet streak forcing and instability will be increasing. A convective or forced squall line is likely to develop over Central Pennsylvania southward into Virgina, with torrential downpours and gusty winds  near the low. Further south there is potential for more severe weather and tornadoes with greater instability. The Storm Prediction Center has issued large area of enhanced and moderate risks for parts of Virgina North Carolina, with slight and marginal risks further up and down the East Coast.

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Multi-hazard system will affect the area midweek

A large and intense low pressure system will form over the Mississippi River Valley and move northward toward the Ohio Valley and Southeast Canada this week, as a result of an impressive phase in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. In our area, two distinct areas of low pressure will actually impact our weather; the first from Tuesday into Tuesday Night, and the second from Wednesday into Thursday. Both will feature wildly differing weather conditions, with snow possible across the interior on Tuesday and then heavy rain, warm temperatures, and thunder on Wednesday Night from the second storm system.

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Major storm likely to be more wet than white, this week

A large, powerful storm system is expected to develop from the Mississippi River Valley into the Ohio Valley during the early to middle part of this upcoming week, as a significant phase in the mid levels of the atmosphere occurs. A strong low pressure system will drive northward through the aforementioned areas, allowing a deep southerly flow to draw warm, moist air toward our area during the middle part of the week. Initially there might be enough for cold air around for some frozen precipitation at the onset. But eventually warmer temperatures with periods of heavy rain, gusty winds, and possibly even thunder, will be possible as the storm impacts our area.

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