NYC Area Forecast: Transitional weather continues, more rain late week

Remember this past Spring, when it seemed like we had settled into a pattern which brought us rain every single weekend? It looks like we might be back there again.

Forecast models are settling in to the idea that another storm system will impact the Northeast states from late Friday into Saturday, delivering multiple rounds of rainfall and no shortage of cloudy, dreary weather.

Luckily, there is plenty to enjoy until then! Temperatures are expected to gradually warm over the next few days, well into the 50’s on Wednesday and then into the 60’s on Thursday. This will come as a welcomed change, after several days of temperatures below normal.

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PM Update: Calm, cool weather ahead of weekend Nor’Easter

Generally calm and cool weather is expected to continue over the next few days, with plenty of sunshine throughout the Northeast states and temperatures solidly below normal for this time of year. Building clouds on Friday will be the first sign of an impending storm this weekend, with a significant Nor’Easter expected to develop from late Friday Night into Saturday. Heavy rainfall, strong winds and moderate coastal flooding are all expected in the Mid-Atlantic, with even some wintry precipitation on the front end of the storm in the higher elevations of New England.

The system is forming several days after the potential for its development was first discussed. A highly anomalous pattern in the atmosphere, including the presence of blocking ridges of high pressure in Canada, set the stage for the storm. For meteorologists, these “warning signs” are important to catch, as they can provide enhanced lead time for storm development.

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NYC Area Forecast: Nor’Easter increasingly likely this weekend

A colder than normal pattern has become well established throughout the Northeast states over the past few days – in case you haven’t noticed yet -and will remain established for the remainder of the week. In fact, a low pressure system is expected to strengthen in the Gulf of Maine later tonight into Wednesday, producing the first accumulating snowfall of the season for parts of Maine.

Meanwhile, the weather pattern across the Central and Southern United States is forecast to become more amplified. Forecast model guidance suggests that a few disturbances will eject southeastward from the Pacific Ocean into the Central United States, and a second disturbance will linger off the Southeast Coast. The interaction of these two features will aid in the development of a low pressure area off the Southeast US coast by Friday.

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NYC Area Forecast: Cool, transient weather ahead of potential weekend storm

An active and colder weather pattern appears likely to continue for at least the next week, and it may be capped off with a large storm system as its grand finale this coming weekend. The pattern has been well advertised, and it arrived with some fanfare – a few strong cold fronts over the past few days have brought a myriad of hazardous weather to the Northeast states. Sunday featured the first real brisk, cold day in a while with a deep northwesterly flow and even a few lake effect snow/rain bands streaming into the Catskills.

Speaking of cold air, Freeze Warnings and Watches were in effect for fairly large majority of the region through Monday AM where the growing season had not yet ended – for many areas, it has now concluded. If you are in an area where it has not ended, or continue to leave plants outdoors, take care of sensitive vegetation – and yourself (bundle up!) during the next few days.

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