The behavior of the stratosphere will become increasingly important in the next 15 to 30 days. Our best understanding of the current conditions and forecast evolution suggest that the stratosphere may aid in the development of colder and wintry conditions by late December in the Northeast US. inter has gotten off to a fast start. […]
Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly prevalent throughout the area this afternoon, culminating in a threat of heavy rain throughout the area tonight. This will lead to localized flooding, and torrential rain may continue until the late evening or even midnight in many areas. The rain wraps up gradually later this evening with improving conditions expected […]
Good morning! Over the next few days, a large upper-level ridge will be building into the area from the Western Atlantic Ocean. Ridges like this would typically support the return of hot and humid conditions, but the area is sandwiched between high pressure to the north and Hurricane Florence off the Southeast US coast. As a result, an […]
12:30pm Update: Florence has strengthened into a powerful Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130mph. Additional rapid intensification is expected today, as the upper-level atmospheric environment becomes more favorable over the system. Shear, which has inhibited the systems development thus far, will be greatly reduced, allowing for improved upper-level outflow ventilation as the storm […]