Miguel Pierre

NYC Forecast: Dreary, cooler weather this weekend

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Happy Friday! High pressure will allow for more sunshine to mix with clouds through this afternoon. High temperatures will reach the middle 70s, which is several degrees above normal. For tonight, clouds and onshore flow will increase, as a backdoor cold front moves through the area. Temperatures will drop overnight into the upper 50s and lower 60s.

For this weekend, an onshore flow will continue to persist between high pressure to the northeast and a coastal storm developing off the Carolina coast. This will likely keep cloudy, cool dreary conditions for much of the weekend. Temperatures will likely struggle to get out of 60s in the area on Saturday and Sunday.

A few showers could develop over parts of the area later in the day on Saturday, as moisture convergence from the onshore flow increases. Then chances for showers will increase again on Sunday, as the coastal storm tracks a little further northeast and interacts with an upper-level trough passing to the north. But stronger high pressure to the northeast will likely keep any bands of heavy rain disorganized and south of the NYC metro area.

ECMWF model suggests showers in the NYC metro area on Sunday with a broad, disorganized coastal storm to our south

Some showers could linger into Sunday night. Then on Monday the coastal storm will begin weakening and heading further offshore. Chances for showers will decrease and skies could begin clearing by Monday afternoon. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s or lower 70s again with more sunshine.

Then a stronger upper-level ridge will build over the Northeast for rest of the next week. This will allow for warmer conditions to return with temperatures likely reaching the middle 70s again on Tuesday and Wednesday. A weak cold front may approach with few showers later on Wednesday. But temperatures will likely remain warmer than normal into late next week.

That’s all for today. Have a great weekend!

Doug Simonian

Locally Strong T-Storms Possible Today, Mainly Dry Rest of This Week

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Good afternoon, NYC! While today is not overly warm, it is quite muggy with dewpoints in the mid 60s. This is because there is a large trough situated in the Ohio Valley extending into the Southeast US, which is sending a moist airmass from south to north, into our area.

This moist airmass is important to the forecast, as it helps to trigger showers and thunderstorms — warm and moist air has the tendency to rise, potentially into thunderstorm clouds. You then just need a “trigger” — an ignition to the weather pattern aids the lift further to allow this lift to result in clouds, rain, and thunderstorms.

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John Homenuk

Mailbag: The vibes are good

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As a period of gorgeous weather continues through this weekend, we’re excited to introduce our mailbag post series. We opened the floor for questions on social media and received a ton of cool responses.

We expect to run a mailbag post once per week, although we may skip it during periods of highly active or unsettled weather. Check out some of the questions below and be sure to reply on social media next week when the mailbag opens up again!

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John Homenuk

NYC Forecast: Gorgeous weekend, unsettled signals loom next week

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We’re back, baby! We’re so excited to re-introduce our weather blog today. It has been a great summer of building our community and we are preparing for a busy Autumn and Winter ahead. These blogs will return on a regular basis, providing slightly longer-form NYC weather content that is easily digestible and understandable. We’ll also be announcing some other very cool news today which will offer some ways to support our content while also receiving some super cool stuff.

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