Posts

John Homenuk

Period of heavy rain likely Monday, nice week ahead

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The morning began in a bit of a haze — literally — as smoke from a brush fire in Southern New Jersey billowed north/northeastward toward much of New Jersey and the 5 boros of New York City. So if you’re smelling the smoke and seeing the haze this morning, in all likelihood you do not need to be alarmed. Temperatures, on the other hand, started out seasonably today in the 30’s and 40’s and will rebound a bit more into the 50’s by the afternoon hours. But an approaching storm system will end up bringing an end to any pleasant weather by this afternoon.

A low pressure system shifting through the Ohio Valley will bring a warm front and area of enhanced lift for heavy precipitation with it later today. Showers are expected to shift northward towards Southern and Central NJ by late morning, and then into Northern NJ and NYC by early to mid afternoon. If you’re headed out to the Yankees home opener this afternoon, bring an umbrella and rain gear. Although the first pitch and ceremonies likely won’t be a washout, the increasing likelihood of showers and steady rain by mid to later innings suggests things could get a little dicey in terms of potential rain delays or even postponement.

HRRR model showing heavy rain in the area this evening.

HRRR model showing heavy rain in the area this evening.

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John Homenuk

Forecast: Warmer, strong winds possible Friday

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For the first Halloween in three years, the weather hazards in our area will be kept to a minimum. After a damaging snowstorm in 2011, and the recovery from Hurricane Sandy in 2012, today’s weather will feel like a major relief. Additionally, it will feel like the top of a week-long roller coaster of temperatures. Highs today will top out in the upper 60s to lower 70s, but the humidity will make it feel muggier than it has been in several weeks. A few showers are possible across the north and western suburbs later this evening.

Water Vapor Satellite imagery from the morning of 10/31/13, showing moisture streaming towards the area ahead of a storm over the Central US.

Water Vapor Satellite imagery from the morning of 10/31/13, showing moisture streaming towards the area ahead of a storm over the Central US.

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Clouds, drizzle will give way to a warm Thursday

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Spring 2013 certainly has not been “warm” by definition, with plenty of transitions and colder than normal airmasses moving through the Northern tier of the United States. There have, however, been a fair share of warmer than normal days — with several featuring high temperatures well into the 70’s across parts of New Jersey and New York City. Thursday will be another one of those days.

With a warm front moving through the area, some clouds and spotty showers are expected through the morning hours. With time, these clouds will burn off and give way to partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 70’s throughout much of the area, with parts of New Jersey potentially approaching the lower 80’s. A frontal zone moves through later Thursday Night with a period of clouds (but little precipitation expected), and Friday will end up several degrees cooler — but still pleasant with highs in the lower 70’s.

The main noticeable change will be the wind direction, as west-southwesterly winds on Thursday will give way to northerly winds behind the front on Friday. Looking ahead, some more unsettled weather with showers and storms is expected as we move into the weekend. Details on the weekend forecast are forthcoming in a blog post later this evening!