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Cooler Weather Returns by This Weekend Over the Northeast

Good morning! Today will be another very warm and humid day, as mid-level ridging remains over the Northeast. Some low clouds and patchy fog again in some spots early this morning, should gradually burn of during the next few hours. Then more sunshine filtered by some high clouds, well help temperatures rise to well above normal again this afternoon. Highs will be the mid-upper 80s, away from the coast. Easterly winds may will keep some coastal sections cooler, perhaps only mid-upper 70s or lower 80s for highs.

A large mid-upper trough moving in from the Midwest and Great Lakes, will finally break down the ridge for rest of the week.  A cold front associated with embedded shortwave energy along this through, will be approaching by tonight. Some showers and thunderstorms are still possible with some weak instability building ahead of the front, mainly over Interior parts of the Northeast later this afternoon and evening. But a lack of moisture and dynamics will keep this activity mostly isolated or widely scattered in coverage.

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October Outlook: Why anomalous warmth could return

Several daily temperature records were broken over the past several days throughout the Eastern United States, particularly this weekend when temperatures reached into the upper 80’s and lower 90’s. Much of this warmth was aided and enhanced by the development of a large, sprawling mid and upper level atmospheric ridge. This ridge acted to enhance the flow of a warm, southwesterly flow, which effectively advected warmth into the agriculture regions and eventually into the Northeast as well.

In the near future, a potent cold front is expected to gradually shift east/southeastward into the Great Lakes, eventually making headway towards the Eastern United States. This front will provide some temporary relief in terms of temperature for harvesting in the near future, and will have many thinking that fall weather is finally on the way — but not so fast. There is more to the forecast, suggesting that anomalous warmth could return very soon.

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