I think we’re best to start off by saying this: Today is a really, really tough day for meteorologists. As everybody wakes up and steps to their window, they’re going to be disappointed in the amount of snow that has fallen. The exception will be over interior Connecticut, Long Island and New England — where the Blizzard of 2015 did bring the anticipated snowfall accumulation. Elsewhere, disappointment will be widespread as snow totals only added up to those of a moderate to significant snowstorm. The prolific snowfall amounts, seeded somewhat by hype but then backed up by our best computer models just mere hours before the storm, did not and will not come to fruition. Which leaves us only with one question: What the hell happened?
Back on Sunday evening, in our post breaking down the potential event, we included this very important piece of information: ” Very heavy snow will spread northwestward from the Western Atlantic to the NJ Coasts and Long Island by late Monday Night into the wee hours of Tuesday Morning. The westward extent of this precipitation shield is currently extremely uncertain — and will determine whether the storm is significant to major, or historic. In this heavy banding, snowfall rates of 2-4” per hour at times are likely.”