Miguel Pierre

NYC Area Forecast: Chilly Weather into the Weekend, Blocking Returns by April

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Friday’s Weather Rating | 5/10 (Fair)

Happy Friday! Partly sunny skies and chilly conditions are expected overall across the region today. But a shortwave trough with some instability will be moving through the region this afternoon and evening. A few isolated rain or wet snow showers and some gusty northwest winds are possible, as it moves through. High temperatures will be in the middle 40s. Later tonight, skies will be clear to partly cloudy. Temperatures will drop overnight into the mid-upper 20s over the Interior to lower to middle 30s over NYC and urban areas.

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John Homenuk

NYC Area Forecast: Another winter storm possible this week

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Monday’s Weather Rating: | 5/10 (Fair)

Good morning on this cool and wintry Monday. After a calm and benign weather weekend in the Northeast states, our full attention has turned to the potential for a winter weather event during the middle of the week ahead. This potential event has been spoken about for quite some time now, and the evolution has changed on forecast model guidance quite a bit over the last 48-60 hours. With all of that said, the potential for a storm of significance still exists.

The week is expected to start off quietly on both Monday and most of Tuesday. Transient clouds and very cold temperatures are expected. There’s no shorting this airmass – it’s extremely cold for this time of year, with temperatures several degrees below average for several days in a row. Temperature departures will exceed -10 F in many locations during this time frame. As our cold continues, a disturbance is organizing in the Central Plains and beginning its move eastward, setting the stage for a complex and convoluted storm evolution during the middle part of the week.

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John Homenuk

NYC Area Forecast: Calm weekend, another storm threat looms

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Thursday’s Weather Rating | 4/10

Snow squalls and blustery winds have been the tale of the tape here for the past 24 hours as a cold and wintry pattern remains stagnant in the Northeast States. Much of this can be attributed to the powerful Nor’Easter that impacted the region just a few days ago, as it tracked northward and pulled in unseasonably cold air. This will continue for one more day, with snow squalls likely throughout the Northeast states again on Thursday.

Some temporary good news then comes to light as the weekend is expected to be rather quaint. Temperatures will warm up a bit each day as the airmass begins to modify to its surroundings (without a true cold air source anymore) leading to more pleasant and comfortable weather, although temperatures in the Northeast states will still be several degrees below seasonal averages. The lack of storms will certainly be a welcomed addition to the weekend – but it won’t last for long.

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John Homenuk

NYC Area Forecast: Improving conditions lead us to midweek

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Wednesday’s Weather Rating | 4/10

Okay, take a breath.

Three weeks removed from a large-scale pattern change which featured the development of a classic Greenland Block, we have experienced three Nor’Easters, all of which have been impactful in the Northeast states. As we move towards midweek,  much of the Northeast states will finally catch a break. The departing Nor’Easter will leave blustery conditions with a few snow showers and squalls expected, but overall conditions will improve as high pressure builds in.

Temperatures will remain well below normal, and that will be the theme of the next several days – Cold. Much of this can be attributed to the re-development of another Greenland Block during the next few days, as forecast models suggest the pattern will begin to reload. Greenland Block’s are, in their nature, ridges of high pressure over Greenland and the higher latitudes of the Arctic that dislodge cold air further south into Canada and the Northeast States.

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